Expectations in first-price auctions
AbstractBids in private value first price auctions consistently deviate from risk neutral symmetric equilibrium bids. It is difficult to explain this deviation with risk aversion. We propose and test two other explanations: (1) Bidders do not form correct expectations. (2) Bidders do not play a best reply against their expectations. We present a novel experimental setup which allows to observe bids and expectations separately. We extensively test the internal validity of this setup. We find that off equilibrium expectations explain, if at all, underbidding. Off equilibrium bids do not seem to be due to wrong expectations but due to deviations from a best reply
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Centre for Research into Industry, Enterprise, Finance and the Firm in its series CRIEFF Discussion Papers with number 0609.
Date of creation: Jun 2006
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Experiments; Auction; Expectations.;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- C92 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Design of Experiments - - - Laboratory, Group Behavior
- D44 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure and Pricing - - - Auctions
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2006-10-21 (All new papers)
- NEP-EXP-2006-10-21 (Experimental Economics)
- NEP-FMK-2006-10-21 (Financial Markets)
- NEP-UPT-2006-10-21 (Utility Models & Prospect Theory)
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"Auctions with Anticipated Emotions: Overbidding, Underbidding, and Optimal Reserve Prices,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
6476, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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