The Stagnation Regime of the New Keynesian Model and Current US Policy
AbstractIn Evans, Guse, and Honkapohja (2008) the intended steady state is locally but not globally stable under adaptive learning, and unstable deflationary paths can arise after large pessimistic shocks to expectations. In the current paper a modified model is presented that includes a locally stable stagnation regime as a possible outcome arising from large expectation shocks. Policy implications are examined. Sufficiently large temporary increases in government spending can dislodge the economy from the stagnation regime and restore the natural stabilizing dynamics. More specific policy proposals are presented and discussed.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis in its series CDMA Working Paper Series with number 201101.
Date of creation: 15 Jan 2011
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Stagnation; fiscal and monetary policy; deflation trap.;
Other versions of this item:
- George W. Evans, 2010. "The Stagnation Regime of the New Keynesian Model and Current US Policy," University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers 2010-6, University of Oregon Economics Department.
- Evans, George W., 2011. "The Stagnation Regime of the New Keynesian Model and Current US Policy," SIRE Discussion Papers 2011-06, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- E63 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy
- E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
- E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2011-02-05 (All new papers)
- NEP-CBA-2011-02-05 (Central Banking)
- NEP-MAC-2011-02-05 (Macroeconomics)
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