Forecasting Investment Needs in South Africa's Electricity and Telecom Sectors
AbstractThe paper uses a 52-country panel-data for the period 1980-2002 to estimate demand for electricity and telecom services and, based on these estimates, project investment needs in South Africa through 2010 for two growth scenarios. Projections of average annual investment needs in electricity and telecom for the current growth scenario (3.6% per annum) are of the order of 0.2% and 0.75% of GDP, respectively. An alternative, accelerated growth scenario (6% per annum) implies approximate doubling of investment needs in these sectors.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Economic Research Southern Africa in its series Working Papers with number 36.
Length: 23 pages
Date of creation: 2005
Date of revision:
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Other versions of this item:
- żeljko Bogetić & Johannes w. Fedderke, 2006. "Forecasting Investment Needs In South Africa'S Electricity And Telecom Sectors," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 74(3), pages 557-574, 09.
- H54 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Infrastructures
- H - Public Economics
- R - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics
- O - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth
- O57 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Comparative Studies of Countries
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- Fedderke, J.W. & Bogetic, Z., 2009. "Infrastructure and Growth in South Africa: Direct and Indirect Productivity Impacts of 19 Infrastructure Measures," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 37(9), pages 1522-1539, September.
- Johannes Fedderke & Å½eljko Bogetic, 2005. "Infrastructure and Growth in South Africa: Direct and Indirect Productivity Impacts of 19 Infrastructure Measures," Working Papers 39, Economic Research Southern Africa.
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