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Forecasting Investment Needs in South Africa's Electricity and Telecom Sectors

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  • Željko Bogetic
  • Johannes Fedderke

Abstract

The paper uses a 52-country panel-data for the period 1980-2002 to estimate demand for electricity and telecom services and, based on these estimates, project investment needs in South Africa through 2010 for two growth scenarios. Projections of average annual investment needs in electricity and telecom for the current growth scenario (3.6% per annum) are of the order of 0.2% and 0.75% of GDP, respectively. An alternative, accelerated growth scenario (6% per annum) implies approximate doubling of investment needs in these sectors.

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File URL: http://econrsa.org/home/index.php?option=com_docman&task=doc_download&gid=37&Itemid=67
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Economic Research Southern Africa in its series Working Papers with number 36.

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Length: 23 pages
Date of creation: 2005
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:rza:wpaper:36

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Cited by:
  1. Janine Aron & Tania Ajam, 2007. "Fiscal Renaissance in a Democratic South Africa," Economics Series Working Papers WPS/2007-10, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
  2. Fedderke, Johannes W. & Bogetic & Zeljko, 2006. "Infrastructure and growth in South Africa : direct and indirect productivity impacts of 19 infrastructure measures," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3989, The World Bank.

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