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Marginal Effects and Significance Testing with Heckman’s Sample Selection Model: A Methodological Note

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Colin Vance ()

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Abstract

This paper illustrates two techniques for calculating the statistical significance of the marginal effects derived from Heckman’s sample selection model,an increasingly common econometric specification in political science. The discussion draws on an analysis by Sweeney (2003) of the incidence and intensity of interstate disputes. After replicating his results, the paper presents the delta method and the nonparametric bootstrap as alternative techniques for obtaining standard errors of the marginal effects, which themselves are calculated from a transformation of the model parameters.The analysis reveals two variables for which misleading inferences are drawn with respect to the precision of the estimated coefficients in the original study, suggesting that significance testing of the derived marginal effects is warranted.

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Paper provided by Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung in its series RWI Discussion Papers with number 0039.

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Length: 14 pages
Date of creation: Apr 2006
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Handle: RePEc:rwi:dpaper:0039

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Related research
Keywords: Heckman model statistical significance delta method nonparametric bootstrap dispute severity

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Hypothesis Testing
C34 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Truncated and Censored Models

References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Heckman, James J, 1979. "Sample Selection Bias as a Specification Error," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 47(1), pages 153-61, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Papke, Leslie E. & Wooldridge, Jeffrey M., 2005. "A computational trick for delta-method standard errors," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 86(3), pages 413-417, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Atanu Saha & Oral Capps & Patrick J. Byrne, 1997. "Calculating marginal effects in models for zero expenditures in household budgets using a Heckman-type correction," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 29(10), pages 1311-1316, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Saha, Atanu & Capps, Oral, Jr & Byrne, Patrick J, 1997. "Calculating Marginal Effects in Models for Zero Expenditures in Household Budgets Using a Heckman-Type Correction," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 29(10), pages 1311-16, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Rodolfo Hoffmann & Ana Lúcia Kassouf, 2005. "Deriving conditional and unconditional marginal effects in log earnings equations estimated by Heckman's procedure," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 37(11), pages 1303-1311, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Colin Vance & Ralf Hedel, 2006. "On the Link between Urban Form and Automobile Use - Evidence from German Survey Data," RWI Discussion Papers 0048, Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung. [Downloadable!]
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