Predictive Density Evaluation
Abstract
This Chapter discusses estimation, specification testing, and model selection of predictive density models. In particular, predictive density estimation is briefly discussed. And a variety of different specifications and model evaluation tests due to various authors including Christoffersen and Diebold (2000), Diebold Gunther and Tay (1998), Diebold Hahn and Tay (1999), White (2000), Bai (2003), Corradi and Swanson (2003 and 2004(a),(b),(c)), Hong and Li (2003), and others are reviewed. Extensions of some existing techniques to the case of out-of-sample evaluation are also provided, and asymptotic results associated with these extensions are outlined.Download Info
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Paper provided by Rutgers University, Department of Economics in its series Departmental Working Papers with number 200419.Length: 20 pages
Date of creation: 16 Sep 2004
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:rut:rutres:200419
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Related research
Keywords: Predictive density;Other versions of this item:
- Corradi, Valentina & Swanson, Norman R., 2006. "Predictive Density Evaluation," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, Elsevier.
- C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models
- C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2004-10-21 (All new papers)
- NEP-ECM-2004-10-21 (Econometrics)
- NEP-ETS-2004-10-21 (Econometric Time Series)
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