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Informational efficiency of the US SO2 permit market

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Author Info
J. ALBRECHT ()
T. VERBEKE ()
M. DE CLERCQ ()

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Abstract

We test the information efficiency of the market for SO2 permits in the US. In order to do so, we perform a number of unit root tests and test if the changes in the SO2 permit price are serially correlated. Furthermore, we test if it would have been possible to earn a profit based on knowledge on the SO2 permit’s price history. The evidence presented in this paper suggests that this market is efficient from an informational point of view. Although one could question this hypothesis from a statistical point of view, economic significance suggests that this market is indeed efficient.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration in its series Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium with number 04/250.

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Length: 30 pages
Date of creation: Jun 2004
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:rug:rugwps:04/250

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Related research
Keywords: SO2; tradable permits market; market efficiency; unit roots; random walk hypothesis.;

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Joskow, Paul L & Schmalensee, Richard & Bailey, Elizabeth M, 1998. "The Market for Sulfur Dioxide Emissions," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 88(4), pages 669-85, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Burton G. Malkiel, 2003. "The Efficient Market Hypothesis and Its Critics," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 17(1), pages 59-82, Winter. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Perron, Pierre, 1997. "Further evidence on breaking trend functions in macroeconomic variables," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 80(2), pages 355-385, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  1. repec:mop:credwp:06.02.63 is not listed on IDEAS
  2. Olivier Rousse & Benoît Sévi, 2005. "Behavioral Heterogeneity in the US Sulfur Dioxide Emissions Allowance Trading Program," ERSA conference papers ersa05p550, European Regional Science Association. [Downloadable!]
  3. Paolo, COLLA & Marc, GERMAIN & Vincent, VAN STEENBERGHE, 2005. "Environmental policy and speculation on markets for emission permits," Discussion Papers (ECON - Département des Sciences Economiques) 2005049, Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques. [Downloadable!]
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