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Will The Euro Be Beneficial On Firm’S Investment Behaviour?

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Author Info
Vincenzo Atella
Gianfranco Atzeni
Pierluigi Belvisi

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Abstract

The literature on the relationship between exchange rate and investment mainly focus on the devaluation argument, which evidences that a devaluation may affect positively investment spending. The goal of this paper is to extend the analysis to how exchange rate variability can influence firm’s innovation process. Employing a large panel of Italian firms we estimate the impact of exchange rate on investment. Combining an ECM model specification with a model of signal extraction we find that exchange rate volatility reduces investment, with a decreasing sensitivity the greater is firm market power. A stable exchange rate is then an incentive to investment as it allows more reliable estimation of its marginal productivity. To this extent, an economic system may benefit from a stable exchange rate in terms of investment and profit, provided it is able to strengthen its firm market power.

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Paper provided by Tor Vergata University, CEIS in its series Departmental Working Papers with number 180.

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Date of creation: Nov 2002
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Handle: RePEc:rtv:ceiswp:180

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  1. Lucas, Robert E, Jr & Prescott, Edward C, 1971. "Investment Under Uncertainty," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 39(5), pages 659-81, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Lucas, Robert E, Jr, 1973. "Some International Evidence on Output-Inflation Tradeoffs," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 63(3), pages 326-34, June.
  3. Julia Darby & Andrew Hughes Hallett & Jonathan Ireland & Laura Piscitelli, . "The Impact of Exchange Rate Uncertainty on the Level of Investment," ICMM Discussion Papers 49, Department of Economics University of Strathclyde.
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  4. Campa, Jose Manuel & Goldberg, Linda S, 1999. "Investment, Pass-Through, and Exchange Rates: A Cross-Country Comparison," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 40(2), pages 287-314, May.
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  5. Nucci, F. & Pozzolo, A.F., 1998. "Investment and the Exchange Rate," Papers 344, Banca Italia - Servizio di Studi.
  6. Linda Goldberg & Joseph Tracy, 1999. "Exchange rates and local labor markets," Staff Reports 63, Federal Reserve Bank of New York. [Downloadable!]
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  7. Hayashi, Fumio, 1982. "Tobin's Marginal q and Average q: A Neoclassical Interpretation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(1), pages 213-24, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  1. Vincenzo Atella & Gianfranco Enrico Atzeni & Pier Luigi Belvisi, 2003. "Investment and Exchange Rate Under Uncertainty," CEIS Research Paper 32, Tor Vergata University, CEIS. [Downloadable!]
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