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Indicators and Tests of Fiscal Sustainability: An Integrated Approach

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Abstract

This paper shows that indicators and tests of government solvency should not be used alternatively. We present a simple and intuitive procedure to integrate simultaneously the results from the two approaches to fiscal sustainability. An application to U.S. post-World War II data demonstrates the empirical relevance of the proposed strategy. Our results suggest that U.S. fiscal policy is on a sustainable path, since the warning predictions of tax gap indicators merely reflect cyclical factors.

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File URL: ftp://www.ceistorvergata.it/repec/rpaper/RP111.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Tor Vergata University, CEIS in its series CEIS Research Paper with number 111.

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Length: 38 pages
Date of creation: 11 Jul 2008
Date of revision: 11 Jul 2008
Handle: RePEc:rtv:ceisrp:111

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Postal: CEIS - Centre for Economic and International Studies - Faculty of Economics - University of Rome "Tor Vergata" - Via Columbia, 2 00133 Roma
Phone: +390672595601
Fax: +39062020687
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Web page: http://www.ceistorvergata.it
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Postal: CEIS - Centre for Economic and International Studies - Faculty of Economics - University of Rome "Tor Vergata" - Via Columbia, 2 00133 Roma
Email:
Web: http://www.ceistorvergata.it

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Keywords: Fiscal Sustainability; Fiscal Indicators; Tests of Government Solvency;

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