Time Dynamics and the Introduction of New Technologies within IO Analysis
AbstractAlthough Input-Output (IO) models are widely accepted tools for regional scientists and economists alike, there are still many issues to confront during their application, including estimating impacts relative to future years, dynamic impacts, and the introduction of new technologies within economic systems. Oftentimes, especially within energy and environmental subject areas, applications call for not only the introduction of new technologies but also for forecasts of economic impacts that may take years, or even decades, to fully implement. Despite the static nature of the IO modeling framework, these types of situations can be handled successfully and in ways fully consistent with the principles underlying the framework. This paper describes such a methodology, developed in the context of an input-output application for the estimation of impacts associated with the introduction of new energy technologies over a twenty year time horizon, modeling new and existing fossil-fuel technology scenarios from inception through the year 2030. As a demonstration of the method, application results are presented and briefly discussed.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Regional Research Institute, West Virginia University in its series Working Papers with number 201003.
Length: 37 pages
Date of creation: 2010
Date of revision:
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More information through EDIRC
Input-Output; Forecasts; Energy; Impacts Assessment;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- C67 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Input-Output Models
- R15 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Econometric and Input-Output Models; Other Methods
- Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy
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- West, Guy R, 1991. "A Queensland Input-Output Econometric Model: An Overview," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(57), pages 221-40, December.
- S J Rey, 1997. "Integrating regional econometric and input - output models: an evaluation of embedding strategies," Environment and Planning A, Pion Ltd, London, vol. 29(6), pages 1057-1072, June.
- Morimoto, Yoshinori, 1970. "On Aggregation Problems in Input-Output Analysis," Review of Economic Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(1), pages 119-26, January.
- Michael L. Lahr & Benjamin H. Stevens, 2002. "A Study of the Role of Regionalization in the Generation of Aggregation Error in Regional Input -Output Models," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(3), pages 477-507.
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