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Quelles perspectives de développement pour le marché des annuités?

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  • Arnaud Van Bellingen

Abstract

La théorie de la demande d'annuités nous enseigne que les individus rationnels et sans volonté de laisser un héritage devraient investir une part majeure de leur capital en annuités. La réalité ne corrobore pas cette théorie : le marché est très restreint. Le développement de plus en plus marqué des plans de retraite à contributions définies, qui prévoient la disponibilité d’un capital en fin de période d’activité, devrait être corrélé avec un développement du marché annuitaire. Or, cela n’est pas le cas. Les explications traditionnellement avancées sont la sélection adverse, la volonté de transmettre un héritage, la concurrence d'actifs à hauts rendements, le rôle d'assurance de la famille et la volonté de garder des réserves de précaution en actifs classiques. L'hypothèse de l'irrationalité des choix est une voie intéressante et encore peu explorée. Si la cause résidait dans les règles propres de fonctionnement du marché annuitaire libre et non dans le choix de stratégies d'assurances alternatives, un déficit d'assurance longévité apparaîtrait et un développement accentué du marché annuitaire obligatoire serait une réponse éventuelle.

Suggested Citation

  • Arnaud Van Bellingen, 2007. "Quelles perspectives de développement pour le marché des annuités?," CREPP Working Papers 0701, Centre de Recherche en Economie Publique et de la Population (CREPP) (Research Center on Public and Population Economics) HEC-Management School, University of Liège.
    • Handle: RePEc:rpp:wpaper:0701
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    File URL: http://www2.ulg.ac.be/crepp/papers/crepp-wp200701.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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