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Does FOMC News Increase Global FX Trading?

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Author Info
Fischer, Andreas M. () (Swiss National Bank)
Ranaldo, Angelo () (Swiss National Bank)

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Abstract

Does global currency volume increase on days when the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets? To test the hypothesis of excess currency volume on FOMC days, we use a novel data set from the Continuous Linked Settlement (CLS) Bank. The CLS measure captures roughly half of the global trading volume in foreign exchange (FX) markets. We find strong evidence that trading volume increases in the order of 5% across currency areas on FOMC days during 2003 to 2007. This result holds irrespective of the size of price changes in currency markets and FOMC policy shocks. The new evidence of excess FX trading on FOMC days is inconsistent with standard models of the asset market approach with homogenous agents.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Swiss National Bank in its series Working Papers with number 2008-9.

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Length: 43 pages
Date of creation: 01 Mar 2008
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Handle: RePEc:ris:snbwpa:2008_009

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Related research
Keywords: Trading volume; FOMC; Global linkages;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing

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References listed on IDEAS
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    Other versions:
  2. Jon Faust & John H. Rogers & Eric Swanson & Jonathan H. Wright, 2003. "Identifying the Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Exchange Rates Using High Frequency Data," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 1(5), pages 1031-1057, 09. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  3. Lacker, Jeffrey M., 2001. "The CLS bank: a solution to the risks of international payments settlement? A comment," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 54(1), pages 227-233, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Fabio Panetta & Paolo Angelini & Giuseppe Grande & Aviram Levy & Roberto Perli & Pinar Yesin & Stefan Gerlach & Srichander Ramaswamy & Michela Scatigna, 2006. "The recent behaviour of financial market volatility," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 2, Bank of Italy, Economic Research Department. [Downloadable!]
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  14. Kahn, Charles M. & Roberds, William, 2001. "The CLS bank: a solution to the risks of international payments settlement?," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 54(1), pages 191-226, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  15. Macdonald, Ronald & Marsh, Ian W., 1996. "Currency forecasters are heterogeneous: confirmation and consequences," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 15(5), pages 665-685, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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