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Debt-driven growth? Wealth, distribution and demand in OECD countries

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The paper investigates the effects of changes in the distribution of income and in wealth on aggregate demand and its components. We extend the Bhaduri and Marglin (1990) model to include personal income inequality as well as asset prices and debt. This allows for an evaluation of the wage or profit-led nature of demand regimes, of the expenditure cascade argument (Frank et al. 2010) and several hypotheses regarding the effects of wealth and debt. Our estimates are based on a panel of 18 OECD countries covering the period 1980-2013. For the full panel the average demand regime is found to be wage led. We fail to find effects of personal inequality, but do find strong effects of debt and property prices which have been the major drivers of aggregate demand in the decade prior to the 2007 crisis.

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  • Stockhammer, Engelbert & Wildauer, Rafael, 2015. "Debt-driven growth? Wealth, distribution and demand in OECD countries," Economics Discussion Papers 2015-2, School of Economics, Kingston University London.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:kngedp:2015_002
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    Keywords

    post-Keynesian economics; wage-led growth; Bhaduri-Marglin model; demand regimes; wealth effect; Veblen effect; expenditure cascade; aggregate demand;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E11 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Marxian; Sraffian; Kaleckian
    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth

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