Intra-European Union trade openness and new members’ output convergence: A time-series analysis
AbstractThe current literature on the 5th European Union (EU) enlargement shows widespread support of beta-convergence between old and new members but partial support in favour of stochastic convergence. In this paper, I try to assess whether this process may have been significantly facilitated by intra-EU trade using a range of cross-section or panel cointegration and causality tests. This is a possibility not accounted for in the standard neoclassical model, nor deeply investigated in the enlargement literature, but one which can potentially explain the differences researchers observe across countries. Preliminary evidence fails to confirm the predominant role of trade openness in stimulating output convergence suggested, at a more general level, by previous research.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by School of Economics, Kingston University London in its series Economics Discussion Papers with number 2012-5.
Length: 21 pages
Date of creation: Jul 2012
Date of revision:
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Postal: Kingston University London, School of Economics, Penrhyn Road, Kingston upon Thames, Surrey, KT1 2EE, UK
Web page: http://fass.kingston.ac.uk/schools/economics/
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Trade openness; output convergence; time-series;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models &bull Diffusion Processes
- F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
- O19 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - International Linkages to Development; Role of International Organizations
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2012-08-23 (All new papers)
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