Simulating security of supply effects of the Nabucco and South Stream projects for the European natural gas market
AbstractDue to the increasing European import dependency, signiﬁcant additional natural gas volumes will be required. In addition to the Nord Stream pipeline, the Nabucco and South Stream pipeline are projects planned for the next decade to provide further gas supplies to the European market. As one of the European Union’s energy policies’ foci is security of supply, the question can be raised if and how these projects contribute to this objective not only in terms of diversiﬁcation but also in case of supply disruptions such as occurred in 2009 during the Russia-Ukraine gas crisis. This paper discusses the impact of these two major gas import pipeline projects on the South-Eastern Europe gas supply and analyzes their eﬀects on gas ﬂows and marginal cost prices in general and in case of gas supply disruptions via Ukraine in a model-based analysis with the European natural gas infrastructure and dispatch model TIGER.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Energiewirtschaftliches Institut an der Universitaet zu Koeln in its series EWI Working Papers with number 2010-7.
Length: 26 pages
Date of creation: 27 Dec 2010
Date of revision: 21 Jan 2012
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Natural gas; security of supply; Nabucco; South Stream; Europe; linear-optimization; transport infrastructure;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
- L95 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities - - - Gas Utilities; Pipelines; Water Utilities
- Q34 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - Natural Resources and Domestic and International Conflicts
- Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2011-01-30 (All new papers)
- NEP-CIS-2011-01-30 (Confederation of Independent States)
- NEP-ENE-2011-01-30 (Energy Economics)
- NEP-EUR-2011-01-30 (Microeconomic European Issues)
- NEP-PPM-2011-01-30 (Project, Program & Portfolio Management)
- NEP-TRA-2011-01-30 (Transition Economics)
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