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Is Volatility Good for Growth?

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Author Info

  • Elena Andreou

    ()
    (University of Cyprus, Cyprus)

  • Marianne Sensier

    (The University of Manchester, UK)

  • Alessandra Pelloni

    ()
    (University of Rome ‘Tor Vergata’ and The Rimini Centre of Economic Analisys, Italy)

Abstract

We provide empirical support for a DSGE model with nominal wage stickiness where growth is driven by learning-by-doing and money shocks and their variance are allowed to impact on long-run output growth. In our theoretical model the variance of monetary shocks has a negative effect on growth, while output volatility is good for growth as a positive relationship exists. Utilising a bivariate GARCH-M model we test the empirical conditional mean and variance relationships of nominal money and production growth rates in the G7 countries. We corroborate the theoretical model predictions with evidence from Bonferroni multiple tests across the G7.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by The Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis in its series Working Paper Series with number 37-08.

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Date of creation: Jan 2008
Date of revision: Jan 2008
Handle: RePEc:rim:rimwps:37-08

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Keywords: growth uncertainty; learning-by-doing; monetary uncertainty; multivariate GARCH-in-mean; nominal rigidity.;

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References

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Cited by:
  1. Oikawa, Koki, 2010. "Uncertainty-driven growth," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 34(5), pages 897-912, May.

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