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Euro Area Inflation Persistence in an Estimated Nonlinear DSGE Model

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  • Gianni Amisano

    ()
    (European Central Bank, University of Brescia and The Rimini Centre for Economics Analysis, Rimini, Italy.)

  • Oreste Tristani

    ()
    (European Central Bank.)

Abstract

We estimate the approximate nonlinear solution of a small DSGE model on euro area data, using the conditional particle filter to compute the model likelihood. Our results are consistent with previous findings, based on simulated data, suggesting that this approach delivers sharper inference compared to the estimation of the linearised model. We also show that the nonlinear model can account for richer economic dynamics: the impulse responses to structural shocks vary depending on initial conditions selected within our estimation sample.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by The Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis in its series Working Paper Series with number 18-07.

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Date of creation: Jul 2007
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Handle: RePEc:rim:rimwps:18-07

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Keywords: DSGE models; inflation persistence; second order approximations; sequential Monte Carlo; Bayesian estimation.;

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