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Short-Selling Restrictions and Returns: a Natural Experiment

Author

Listed:
  • Lira Mota

    (EPGE-FGV)

  • Joao De Mello

    (PUC-RIO)

  • Marco Bonomo

    (Insper Institute of Education and Research)

Abstract

Restrictions on short-selling may impede market participants from fully expressing their opinions about an asset, causing departures from price efficiency (Miller (1977)). Measuring the impact of short-selling restriction on returns has been elusive because the decision to sell short reflects expectations on returns. We measure the causal impact of short-selling restrictions on returns by taking advantage of an unique dataset and an unique source of exogenous variation in rental fees. In Brazil during the 2010-2013 period rental transaction from individual investors to mutual funds carried an implicit tax discount on days of distribution of Interest on Net Equity (IoNE). The possibility of tax arbitrage produces an exogenous spike in rental fees and short interest during the days surrounding IoNE distribution, making it prohibitively expensive to short-sell for speculative reasons. Our data contains all rental transaction and the identity of the parts, thus allowing us identify transactions for tax arbitrage. We find that the variation of rental fees induced by the tax arbitrage operations has a large impact on abnormal returns, corroborating Miller's hypothesis.

Suggested Citation

  • Lira Mota & Joao De Mello & Marco Bonomo, 2015. "Short-Selling Restrictions and Returns: a Natural Experiment," 2015 Meeting Papers 1353, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    • Handle: RePEc:red:sed015:1353
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Lauren Cohen & Karl B. Diether & Christopher J. Malloy, 2007. "Supply and Demand Shifts in the Shorting Market," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 62(5), pages 2061-2096, October.
    2. Ekkehart Boehmer & Charles M. Jones & Xiaoyan Zhang, 2013. "Shackling Short Sellers: The 2008 Shorting Ban," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 26(6), pages 1363-1400.
    3. Rodrigo De-Losso & Alan De Genaro, Bruno C. Giovannetti, 2012. "Testing the Effects of Short-Selling Restrictions on Asset Prices," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2012_18, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
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    Cited by:

    1. Fernando Chague & Rodrigo De Losso, Bruno Giovannetti, 2017. "Uncovering Skilled Short-sellers," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2017_01, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
    2. Chague, Fernando & De-Losso, Rodrigo & Giovannetti, Bruno, 2019. "The short-selling skill of institutions and individuals," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 77-91.
    3. Chague, Fernando Daniel & Bueno, Rodrigo de Losso da Silveira & Giovannetti, Bruno Cara, 2018. "The short-selling skill of institutions and individuals: a market-wide and out-of-sample analysis," Textos para discussão 469, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).

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