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A Structural Model of Dmand, Cost, and Export Market Selection for Chinese Footwear Producers

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  • Daniel Yi Xu

    (Duke University)

  • Mark Roberts

    (Penn State University)

Abstract

In this paper we use micro data on both trade and production for a sample of large Chinese manufacturing firms in the footwear industry from 2002-2006 to estimate an empirical model of export demand, pricing, and market participation by destination market. We use the model to construct indexes of firm-level demand, cost, and export market profitability. The empirical results indicate substantial firm heterogeneity in both the demand and cost dimensions with demand being more dispersed. The firm-specific demand and cost components are very useful in explaining differences in the extensive margin of trade, the length of time a firm exports to a destination, and the number and mix of destinations, as well as the export prices, while cost is more important in explaining the quantity of firm exports on the intensive margin. We use the estimates to analyze the reallocation resulting from removal of the quota on Chinese footwear exports to the EU and find that it led to a rapid restructuring of export supply sources in favor of firms with high demand and low cost indexes.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Society for Economic Dynamics in its series 2012 Meeting Papers with number 294.

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Date of creation: 2012
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Handle: RePEc:red:sed012:294

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Cited by:
  1. Myrto Kalouptsidi, 2014. "Detection and Impact of Industrial Subsidies: The Case of World Shipbuilding," NBER Working Papers 20119, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  2. Bettina Peters & Mark J. Roberts & Van Anh Vuong & Helmut Fryges, 2013. "Estimating Dynamic R&D Demand: An Analysis of Costs and Long-Run Benefits," NBER Working Papers 19374, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  3. Valerie Smeets & Sharon Traiberman & Frederic Warzynski, 2013. "Offshoring and Patterns of Quality Growth: Evidence from Danish Apparel," Economics Working Papers 2013-25, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
  4. Aw, Bee Yan & Lee, Yi, 2014. "A model of demand, productivity and foreign location decision among Taiwanese firms," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(2), pages 304-316.
  5. A. Kerem Coşar & Pablo D. Fajgelbaum, 2013. "Internal Geography, International Trade, and Regional Specialization," NBER Working Papers 19697, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

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