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A Pitfall with DSGE–Based, Estimated, Government Spending Multipliers

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  • Patrick Fève

    (TSE, Université de Toulouse and Banque de France)

  • Julien Matheron
  • Jean-Guillaume Sahuc

Abstract

In this paper, we study issues related to the estimation of long–run government spending multiplier (GSM) in a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) context. We stress a potential source of bias in the GSM arising from the combination of (i) Edgeworth complementarity between private consumption and government expenditures and (ii) countercyclical government expenditures. We find that the degree of Edgeworth complementarity and the cyclicality of policy interact through cross–equation restrictions, paving the way for potential biases. It turns out that the GSM increases with the degree of Edgeworth complementarity between private consumption and government expenditures. Thus, any bias in the degree of Edgeworth complementarity translates into a biased GSM.

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Paper provided by Society for Economic Dynamics in its series 2011 Meeting Papers with number 136.

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Date of creation: 2011
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Handle: RePEc:red:sed011:136

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  1. Are multipliers larger than we thought?
    by Economic Logician in Economic Logic on 2012-05-08 14:56:00
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Cited by:
  1. Iwata, Yasuharu, 2013. "Two fiscal policy puzzles revisited: New evidence and an explanation," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 188-207.
  2. repec:car:carecp:13-10 is not listed on IDEAS
  3. Fève, Patrick & Sahuc, Jean-Guillaume, 2013. "On the Size of the Government Spending Multiplier in the Euro Area," TSE Working Papers 13-396, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), revised Nov 2013.
  4. Marcello M. Estevão & Issouf Samaké, 2013. "The Economic Effects of Fiscal Consolidation with Debt Feedback," IMF Working Papers 13/136, International Monetary Fund.

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