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Accounting for Real Exchange Rates using Micro-Data

Author

Listed:
  • Anthony Landry

    (Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas)

  • Mario Crucini

    (Vanderbilt University)

Abstract

There are two stark views of the forces driving aggregate real exchange rates in the short-run. One view is that all of the variance is accounted for by non-traded items in the CPI basket (the classical dichotomy view), the other, due to Engel (1999), claims the opposite, with all of the variance attributable to traded items. We formulate a novel variance decomposition technique to deal with the large covariance of LOP deviations across goods. We find that the facts lie almost exactly between these two views. While the contribution to real exchange rate variability differs across goods, the dichotomous classification into traded and non-traded categories is not a good way to characterize those difference. We argue that the view that all retail goods are composites of traded and non-traded inputs is preferrable as it `convexifies' the two polar views and brings the data much closer to recent theoretical approaches emphasizing a distribution margin or trade in intermediate inputs.

Suggested Citation

  • Anthony Landry & Mario Crucini, 2010. "Accounting for Real Exchange Rates using Micro-Data," 2010 Meeting Papers 1100, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  • Handle: RePEc:red:sed010:1100
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    17. Parsley, David & Wei, Shang-Jin, 2008. "In search of a euro effect: Big lessons from a Big Mac Meal?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 260-276, March.
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    21. Mario J. Crucini & Christopher I. Telmer, 2012. "Microeconomic Sources of Real Exchange Rate Variability," NBER Working Papers 17978, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    Cited by:

    1. Giancarlo Corsetti & Luca Dedola & Francesca Viani, 2012. "Traded and Nontraded Goods Prices, and International Risk Sharing: An Empirical Investigation," NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 8(1), pages 403-466.
    2. Ayres, Joao & Hevia, Constantino & Nicolini, Juan Pablo, 2020. "Real exchange rates and primary commodity prices," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    3. Hai Long Vo & Duc Hong Vo, 2023. "The purchasing power parity and exchange‐rate economics half a century on," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(2), pages 446-479, April.
    4. Bache, Ida Wolden & Sveen, Tommy & Torstensen, Kjersti Næss, 2013. "Revisiting the importance of non-tradable goods' prices in cyclical real exchange rate fluctuations," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 98-107.
    5. Craig Benedict & Mario J. Crucini & Anthony Landry, 2020. "On What States Do Prices Depend? Answers From Ecuador," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 52(8), pages 1909-1935, December.
    6. A. Auer, Raphael & Chaney, Thomas & Sauré, Philip, 2018. "Quality pricing-to-market," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 87-102.
    7. Kanda Naknoi, 2017. "Real exchange rate fluctuations, wage stickiness and tradability," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 50(1), pages 94-110, February.
    8. Mario J. Crucini, 2011. "Comment on "Nontraded Goods Prices, Terms of Trade and International Risk-Sharing: An Empirical Investigation"," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2011, pages 470-476, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Baxter, Marianne & Landry, Anthony, 2017. "IKEA: Product, pricing, and pass-through," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(3), pages 507-520.
    10. Mark A. Wynne, 2012. "Five Years of Research on Globalization and Monetary Policy: What Have We Learned?," Annual Report, Globalization and Monetary Policy Institute, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, pages 2-17.
    11. Oleg Itskhoki, 2021. "The Story of the Real Exchange Rate," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 13(1), pages 423-455, August.
    12. Mario J. Crucini & Mototsugu Shintani & Takayuki Tsuruga, 2020. "A Behavioral Explanation for the Puzzling Persistence of the Aggregate Real Exchange Rate," NBER Working Papers 27420, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    13. Burstein, Ariel & Gopinath, Gita, 2014. "International Prices and Exchange Rates," Handbook of International Economics, in: Gopinath, G. & Helpman, . & Rogoff, K. (ed.), Handbook of International Economics, edition 1, volume 4, chapter 0, pages 391-451, Elsevier.
    14. Crucini, Mario J. & Davis, J. Scott, 2016. "Distribution capital and the short- and long-run import demand elasticity," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 203-219.
    15. Roberto S. Mariano, 2011. "Comment on "The Consumption Terms of Trade and Commodity Prices"," NBER Chapters, in: Commodity Prices and Markets, pages 145-146, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    16. Robertson, Raymond & Kumar, Anil & Dutkowsky, Donald H., 2014. "Weak-form and strong-form purchasing power parity between the US and Mexico: A panel cointegration investigation," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 241-262.
    17. Ikeno, Hidehiro, 2014. "Pairwise tests of convergence of Japanese local price levels," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 232-248.
    18. Sandeep Mazumder, 2016. "iPad Purchasing Parity: Farewell to the Big Mac Index," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 36(4), pages 2128-2136.
    19. Crucini, Mario J. & Yilmazkuday, Hakan, 2014. "Understanding long-run price dispersion," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 226-240.

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