On the Rise of Health Spending and Longevity
Abstract
The authors use a calibrated stochastic life-cycle model of endogenous health spending, asset accumulation and retirement to investigate the causes behind the increase in health spending and life expectancy over the period 1965-2005. They estimate that technological change along with the increase in the generosity of health insurance may explain independently 53% of the rise in health spending (insurance 29% and technology 24%) while income less than 10%. By simultaneously occurring over this period, these changes may have lead to a "synergy" or interaction effect which helps explain an additional 37% increase in health spending. They estimate that technological change, taking the form of increased productivity at an annual rate of 1.8%, explains 59% of the rise in life expectancy at age 50 over this period while insurance and income explain less than 10%.Download Info
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Paper provided by RAND Corporation Publications Department in its series Working Papers with number 722.Length: 50 pages
Date of creation: Dec 2009
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:ran:wpaper:722
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Related research
Keywords: demand for health; health spending; insurance; technological change; longevity;Other versions of this item:
- Fonseca, Raquel & Michaud, Pierre-Carl & Galama, Titus & Kapteyn, Arie, 2009. "On The Rise of Health Spending and Longevity," IZA Discussion Papers 4622, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
- I10 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - General
- I38 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare and Poverty - - - Government Programs; Provision and Effects of Welfare Programs
- J26 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Retirement; Retirement Policies
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-AGE-2010-01-16 (Economics of Ageing)
- NEP-ALL-2010-01-16 (All new papers)
- NEP-DGE-2010-01-16 (Dynamic General Equilibrium)
- NEP-HEA-2010-01-16 (Health Economics)
- NEP-IAS-2010-01-16 (Insurance Economics)
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Citations
Blog mentions
As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:- On The Rise of Health Spending and Longevity
by Ariel Goldring in Free Market Mojo on 2010-01-25 09:00:20
Cited by:
- Mariacristina De Nardi & Eric French & John Bailey Jones, 2010. "The Effects of Medicaid and Medicare Reforms on the Elderly’s Savings and Medical Expenditures," Working Papers wp236, University of Michigan, Michigan Retirement Research Center.
- Hui He & Kevin x.d. Huang, 2013. "Why Do Americans Spend So Much More on Health Care than Europeans?--A General Equilibrium Macroeconomic Analysis," Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers 13-00005, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics.
- John Karl Scholz & Ananth Seshadri, 2010. "Health and Wealth in a Life Cycle Model," Working Papers wp224, University of Michigan, Michigan Retirement Research Center.
- Juergen Jung & Chung Tran, 2010.
"Market Inefficiency, Insurance Mandate and Welfare: U.S. Health Care Reform 2010,"
Discussion Papers
2010-31, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
- Chung Tran & Juergen Jung, 2011. "Market Inefficiency, Insurance Mandate and Welfare: U.S. Health Care Reform 2010," ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics 2011-539, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics.
- Juergen Jung & Chung Tran, 2011. "Market Inefficiency, Insurance Mandate and Welfare: U.S. Health Care Reform 2010," Working Papers 201102, ARC Centre of Excellence in Population Ageing Research (CEPAR), Australian School of Business, University of New South Wales.
- Halliday, Timothy J. & He, Hui & Zhang, Hao, 2009.
"Health Investment over the Life-Cycle,"
IZA Discussion Papers
4482, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
- Hui He & Hao Zhang & Tim Halliday, 2010. "Health Investment over the Life-Cycle," 2010 Meeting Papers 1179, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Timothy J. Halliday & Hui He & Hao Zhang, 2009. "Health Investment over the Life-Cycle," Working Papers 200910, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.
- Timothy Halliday & Hui He & Hao Zhang, 2012. "Health Investment over the Life-Cycle," Working Papers 201210, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.
- John Karl Scholz & Ananth Seshadri, 2011. "The Influence of Public Policy on Health, Wealth and Mortality," Working Papers wp252, University of Michigan, Michigan Retirement Research Center.
- James Banks & Alastair Muriel & James Smith, 2010.
"Disease prevalence, disease incidence, and mortality in the United States and in England,"
Demography,
Springer, vol. 47(1), pages S211-S231, March.
- Banks, James & Muriel, Alastair & Smith, James P., 2010. "Disease Prevalence, Disease Incidence, and Mortality in the United States and in England," IZA Discussion Papers 4992, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
- Mariacristina De Nardi & Eric French & John Bailey Jones, 2012.
"Medicaid insurance in old age,"
Working Paper Series
WP-2012-13, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- Mariacristina De Nardi & Eric French & John Bailey Jones, 2012. "Medicaid Insurance in Old Age," Working Papers wp278, University of Michigan, Michigan Retirement Research Center.
- Juergen Jung & Chung Tran, 2008.
"The Macroeconomics of Health Savings Accounts,"
Caepr Working Papers
2007-023, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Economics Department, Indiana University Bloomington.
- Juergen Jung & Chung Tran, 2010. "The Macroeconomics of Health Savings Accounts," Working Papers 2010-12, Towson University, Department of Economics, revised May 2011.
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