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What Mean Impacts Miss: Distributional Effects of Welfare Reform Experiments Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Marianne P. Bitler
Jonah B. Gelbach
Hilary W. Hoynes
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Labor supply theory predicts systematic heterogeneity in the impact of recent welfare reforms on earnings, transfers, and income. Yet most welfare reform research focuses on mean impacts. We investigate the importance of heterogeneity using random-assignment data from Connecticut's Jobs First waiver, which features key elements of post-1996 welfare programs. Estimated quantile treatment effects exhibit the substantial heterogeneity predicted by labor supply theory. Thus mean impacts miss a great deal. Looking separately at dropouts and other women does not improve the performance of mean impacts. Evaluating Jobs First relative to AFDC using a class of social welfare functions, we nd that Jobs First's performance depends on the degree of inequality aversion, the relative valuation of earnings and transfers, and whether one accounts for Jobs First's greater costs. We conclude that welfare reform's effects are likely both more varied and more extensive than has been recognized.
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Paper provided by RAND Corporation Publications Department in its series Working Papers with number
109.
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Length: 60 pages
Date of creation: Nov 2003Date of revision:
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Article Paper Hoynes, Hilary & Bitler, Marianne P. & Gelbach, Jonah, 2005.
"What Mean Impacts Miss: Distributional Effects of Welfare Reform Experiments ,"
Working Papers
05-31, University of California at Davis, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Marianne Bitler & Jonah Gelbach & Hilary Hoynes, 2003.
"What Mean Impacts Miss: Distributional Effects of Welfare Reform Experiments ,"
NBER Working Papers
10121, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Marianne P. Bitler & Jonah B. Gelbach & Hilary W. Hoynes, 2005.
"What Mean Impacts Miss: Distributional Effects of Welfare Reform Experiments ,"
IZA Discussion Papers
1728, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
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Rebecca M. Blank & David Card & Philip K. Robins, 1999.
"Financial Incentives for Increasing Work and Income Among Low-Income Families ,"
JCPR Working Papers
69, Northwestern University/University of Chicago Joint Center for Poverty Research.
Rebecca M. Blank & David Card & Philip K. Robins, 1999.
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HEW
9902002, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!] Rebecca M. Blank & David Card & Philip K. Robins, 1999.
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Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings
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