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Do Momentum Strategies Work?: - Australian Evidence

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Author Info
Michael E. Drew
Madhu Veeraraghavan
Min Ye

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Abstract

This paper investigates the profitability of momentum investment strategy and the predictive power of trading volume for equities listed in the Australian Stock Exchange. Recent research finds that momentum and trading volume appear to predict subsequent returns in U.S. market and past volume helps to reconcile intermediate-horizon “under reaction” and long-horizon “overreaction” effects. However, bulk of the evidence on this important relationship between past returns and future returns is limited to U.S. portfolios. This study provides an out of sample evidence by examining the relationship between “trading volume” (measured by the turnover ratio) and “momentum” strategies in an Australian setting. We document a strong momentum effect for the Australian market during the period 1988 through 2002 and find that momentum plays an important role in providing information about stocks. We also find that past trading volume predicts both the magnitude and persistence of price momentum. In summary, our findings are consistent with the U.S. evidence.

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File URL: http://www.bus.qut.edu.au/faculty/schools/economics/documents/discussionPapers/2004/DP%20No.%20169%20-%20Drew%20&%20Others.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by School of Economics and Finance, Queensland University of Technology in its series School of Economics and Finance Discussion Papers and Working Papers Series with number 169.

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Date of creation: 20 Jan 2004
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Handle: RePEc:qut:dpaper:169

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  1. Conrad, Jennifer & Kaul, Gautam, 1998. "An Anatomy of Trading Strategies," Review of Financial Studies, Oxford University Press for Society for Financial Studies, vol. 11(3), pages 489-519.
  2. Kent Daniel & David Hirshleifer & Avanidhar Subrahmanyam, 1998. "Investor Psychology and Security Market Under- and Overreactions," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 53(6), pages 1839-1885, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Allaudeen Hameed & Yuanto Kusnadi, 2002. "Momentum Strategies: Evidence from Pacific Basin Stock Markets," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association and Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 25(3), pages 383-397. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Tobias J. Moskowitz & Mark Grinblatt, . "Do Industries Explain Momentum?," CRSP working papers 352, Center for Research in Security Prices, Graduate School of Business, University of Chicago.
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  5. Robert Connolly & Chris Stivers, 2003. "Momentum and Reversals in Equity-Index Returns During Periods of Abnormal Turnover and Return Dispersion," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 58(4), pages 1521-1556, 08. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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