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Adaptive Rate-optimal Detection of Small Autocorrelation Coefficients

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Author Info
Alain Guay () (Université du Québec)
Emmanuel Guerre () (Queen Mary, University of London)
Štěpána Lazarová () (Queen Mary, University of London)

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Abstract

A new test is proposed for the null of absence of serial correlation. The test uses a data-driven smoothing parameter. The resulting test statistic has a standard limit distribution under the null. The smoothing parameter is calibrated to achieve rate-optimality against several classes of alternatives. The test can detect alternatives with many small correlation coefficients that can go to zero with an optimal adaptive rate which is faster than the parametric rate. The adaptive rate-optimality against smooth alternatives of the new test is established as well. The test can also detect ARMA and local Pitman alternatives converging to the null with a rate close or equal to the parametric one. A simulation experiment and an application to monthly financial square returns illustrate the usefulness of the proposed approach.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Queen Mary, University of London, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 645.

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Date of creation: Jun 2009
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Handle: RePEc:qmw:qmwecw:wp645

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Related research
Keywords: Absence of serial correlation; Data-driven nonparametric tests; Adaptive rate-optimality; Small alternatives; Time series;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Hypothesis Testing
C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-7.


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