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A Simple Test of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve

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Author Info
Andrea Carriero () (Queen Mary, University of London)

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Abstract

We propose a way to test the New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) without estimating the structural parameters governing the curve, i.e. price stickiness and firms' backwardness. Using this strategy we can test the NKPC avoiding the identification problems related to the GMM approach. We find that it does not exist a combination of the structural parameters which is consistent with US data. This result does not necessarily imply that the idea of a forward looking price setting behaviour should be entirely disregarded, as the rejection might be due to the failure of the joint hypothesis of rational expectations. Thus further research should be aimed at providing alternative models for agents' expectations.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Queen Mary, University of London, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 592.

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Date of creation: Mar 2007
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Handle: RePEc:qmw:qmwecw:wp592

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Related research
Keywords: VARs; Inflation; Phillips curve;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions
E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-7.


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