Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Policies: Empirical Evidence from Bangladesh, China, Indonesia and the Philippines

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Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Policies: Empirical Evidence from Bangladesh, China, Indonesia and the Philippines

Author Info

Geoffrey Ducanes (University of the Philippines)
Marie Anne Cagas (Asian Development Bank and University of the Philippines)
Duo Qin () (Queen Mary, University of London and Asian Development Bank)
Pilipinas Quising (Asian Development Bank)
Mohammad Abdur Razzaque (University of Dhaka, Bangladesh)

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Duo Qin

Abstract

This paper studies macroeconomic effects of fiscal policies in four Asian countries - Bangladesh, China, Indonesia, and the Philippines - by means of structural macroeconometric model simulations. It is found that short-term fiscal multipliers from an untargeted increase in government expenditure are positive but much less than those from an increased expenditure targeted to capital spending. The multiplier effects from fiscal expansion via a tax rate reduction are found to be typically much less than through higher spending. The effectiveness of automatic stabilizers in general, and more specifically whether expenditure or tax-side stabilizer is more effective, differs across countries.

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Paper provided by Queen Mary, University of London, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 564.

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Date of creation: Sep 2006
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Handle: RePEc:qmw:qmwecw:wp564

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy
E17 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Forecasting and Simulation
C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Other Model Applications
P52 - Economic Systems - - Comparative Economic Systems - - - Comparative Studies of Particular Economies

This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

NEP-ALL-2006-09-23 (All new papers)
NEP-CBA-2006-09-23 (Central Banking)
NEP-CNA-2006-09-23 (China)
NEP-DEV-2006-09-23 (Development)
NEP-MAC-2006-09-23 (Macroeconomics)
NEP-PBE-2006-09-23 (Public Economics)
NEP-SEA-2006-09-23 (South East Asia)
NEP-TRA-2006-09-23 (Transition Economics)

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