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A GARCH Model of Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty with Simultaneous Feedback Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Stilianos Fountas (National University of Ireland)
Menelaos Karanasos (University of York)
Marika Karanassou () (Queen Mary and Westfield College, University of London)
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We examine the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty using a GARCH model that allows for simultaneous feedback between the conditional mean and variance of inflation. We also derive a number of theoretical econometric results and illustrate the relevance of these results with an empirical example of the US monthly inflation process. Our results show that there is strong evidence in favour of a positive bi-directional relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty in agreement with the predictions of economic theory.
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Paper provided by Queen Mary, University of London, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number
414.
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Date of creation: May 2000Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:qmw:qmwecw:wp414Contact details of provider: Postal: London E1 4NS Phone: +44 (0) 20 7882 5096 Fax: +44 (0) 20 8983 3580 Web page: http://www.econ.qmul.ac.uk More information through EDIRC
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Keywords: Inflation Inflation uncertainty GARCH-M Other versions of this item:
Paper Fountas, S. & Karanasos, M. & Karanassou, M., 2000.
"GARCH Model of Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty with Simultaneous Feedback ,"
Department of Economics
47, National University of Ireland, Galway - Department of Economics.
Stilianos Fountas & Menelaos Karanasos & Marika Karanassou, .
"A GARCH Model of Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty with Simultaneous Feedback ,"
Discussion Papers
00/24, Department of Economics, University of York.
[Downloadable!] Find related papers by JEL classification: C2 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports :
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Full
references Cited by : (explanations , Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)
Matteo Barigozzi & Marco Capasso, 2007.
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Stilianos Fountas & Alexandra Ioannidis & Menelaos Karanasos, 2004.
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