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Solving Stochastic Dynamic Programming Problems Using Rules of Thumb

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Author Info
Anthony A. Smith, Jr.
Abstract

This paper develops a new method for constructing approximate solutions to discrete time, infinite horizon, discounted stochastic dynamic programming problems with convex choice sets. The key idea is to restrict the decision rule to belong to a parametric class of function. The agent then chooses the best decision rule from within this class. Monte Carlo simulations are used to calculate arbitrarily precise estimates of the optimal decision rule parameters. The solution method is used to solve a version of the Brock-Mirman (1972) stochastic optimal growth model. For this model, relatively simple rules of thumb provide very good approximations to optimal behavior.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Queen's University, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 816.

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Length: 35 pages
Date of creation: 1991
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:qed:wpaper:816

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Related research
Keywords: econometrics economic models rule of thumb Monte Carlo simulation numerical optimization

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  1. John Geweke, 1995. "Monte Carlo simulation and numerical integration," Staff Report 192, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. [Downloadable!]
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