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Oil Stock Discovery and Dutch Disease

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  • Kirk Hamilton
  • John Hartwick

    ()
    (Queen's University)

Abstract

We set out a model of a small open economy exporting oil and a traditional exportable in return for produced capital. The small open economy also has local production of a non-traded good. We first observe that the size of the traditional export sector declines with an exogenous increase in the country's oil stock. Strong Dutch disease (SDD) involves a net diminution in produced capital in use in the small open economy after the oil discovery shock. SDD turns on the exportable sector being relatively capital intensive.

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File URL: http://qed.econ.queensu.ca/working_papers/papers/qed_wp_1163.pdf
File Function: First version 2008
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Queen's University, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 1163.

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Length: 11 pages
Date of creation: Mar 2008
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:qed:wpaper:1163

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Keywords: Dutch disease; resource discovery; invariant earnings;

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References

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  1. Xavier Sala-i-Martín & Arvind Subramanian, 2003. "Addressing the natural resource curse: An illustration from Nigeria," Economics Working Papers 685, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
  2. Corden, W Max & Neary, J Peter, 1982. "Booming Sector and De-Industrialisation in a Small Open Economy," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 92(368), pages 825-48, December.
  3. Vincent, Jeffrey R. & Panayotou, Theodore & Hartwick, John M., 1997. "Resource Depletion and Sustainability in Small Open Economies," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 274-286, July.
  4. J. O. Olusi & M. A. Olagunju, 2005. "The Primary Sectors of the Economy and the Dutch Disease in Nigeria," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 44(2), pages 159-175.
  5. Budina, Nina & Pang, Gaobo & van Wijnbergen, Sweder, 2007. "Nigeria's growth record : Dutch disease or debt overhang ?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4256, The World Bank.
  6. Ryuhei Okumura & Dapeng Cai, 2007. "Sustainable Constant Consumption In A Semi-Open Economy With Exhaustible Resources," The Japanese Economic Review, Japanese Economic Association, vol. 58(2), pages 226-237.
  7. Hartwick, John M, 1995. "Constant Consumption Paths in Open Eocnomies with Exhaustible Resources," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 3(3), pages 275-83, October.
  8. van Wijnbergen, Sweder, 1984. "Inflation, Employment, and the Dutch Disease in Oil-Exporting Countries: A Short-Run Disequilibrium Analysis," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 99(2), pages 233-50, May.
  9. Arvind Subramanian & Xavier Sala-i-Martin, 2003. "Addressing the Natural Resource Curse," IMF Working Papers 03/139, International Monetary Fund.
  10. Geir B. Asheim, 1986. "Hartwick's Rule in Open Economies," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 19(3), pages 395-402, August.
  11. Neary, J Peter & Purvis, Douglas D, 1982. " Sectoral Shocks in a Dependent Economy: Long-run Adjustment and Short-run Accommodation," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 84(2), pages 229-53.
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Cited by:
  1. van der Ploeg, Frederick & Venables, Anthony J., 2010. "Absorbing A Windfall of Foreign Exchange: Dutch disease dynamics," CEPR Discussion Papers 8086, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

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