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Coordination Failure in Technological Progress, Economic Growth and Volatility

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Author Info
Mei Li () (Queen's University)
Abstract

Technological progress has long been posited to be crucial in a country's economic growth. This paper argues that coordination failure in a country's new technology investment can be one of the barriers in a country's capital accumulation and economic growth. The global game established by Morris and Shin(2000) is extended to a two-sector overlapping generations model where capital goods can be produced by two different technologies. The first is a conventional technology with constant returns, which are perfectly revealed to economic agents. The second is a new technology exhibiting increasing return to scale due to technological externalities, whose returns economic agents only have incomplete information about. Economic agents have to choose which technology to invest in. My model reveals that under certain circumstances coordination failure in the capital goods sector will occur and be manifested as under-investment in the new technology. In this way, I explain how coordination failure in a country's technology updating process leads to slower capital accumulation and economic growth. More interestingly, the model generates a positive correlation between economic growth and volatility through a new channel associated with coordination failure. Policy implications are discussed as well.

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File URL: http://www.econ.queensu.ca/working_papers/papers/qed_wp_1147.pdf
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Paper provided by Queen's University, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 1147.

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Length: 36 pages
Date of creation: Oct 2007
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Handle: RePEc:qed:wpaper:1147

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Related research
Keywords: Economic Growth Technological externalities Coordination Failure

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
D82 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Asymmetric and Private Information
D9 - Microeconomics - - Intertemporal Choice and Growth

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References listed on IDEAS
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  2. George-Marios Angeletos & Alessandro Pavan, 2004. "Transparency of Information and Coordination in Economies with Investment Complementarities," NBER Working Papers 10391, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Morris, Stephen & Shin, Hyun Song, 1998. "Unique Equilibrium in a Model of Self-Fulfilling Currency Attacks," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 88(3), pages 587-97, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Rui Castro & Gian Luca Clementi & Glenn MacDonald, 2004. "Legal Institutions, Sectoral Heterogeneity, and Economic Development," 2004 Meeting Papers 162, Society for Economic Dynamics.
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  5. Carlsson, Hans & van Damme, Eric, 1993. "Global Games and Equilibrium Selection," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 61(5), pages 989-1018, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Ricardo J. Caballero & Richard K. Lyons, 1989. "The Role of External Economies in U.S. Manufacturing," NBER Working Papers 3033, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Stephen Morris & Hyun Song Shin, 2000. "Rethinking Multiple Equilibria in Macroeconomic Modelling," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1260, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
  8. Xavier Vives, 2005. "Complementarities and Games: New Developments," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 43(2), pages 437-479, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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