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Determinants of sovereign bond yield spreads in the euro area in

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  • Luciana Barbosa
  • Sónia Costa

Abstract

This paper aims to identify the determinants behind the different evolution of sovereign bond yields in euro area countries for the period of the current crisis. Up to the time of the collapse of Lehman Brothers, global risk premium was the main driver of spreads. Afterwards, the relevance of idiosyncratic factors increased. Although liquidity premiums played a larger role in the months following September 2008, as the financial crisis spilled over into a strongly deteriorating macroeconomic environment, the importance of country credit risk factors increased. In the first five months of 2010, heterogeneity in sovereign credit risk premiums and a further increase in global risk aversion were, to a large extent, the determining factors behind the evolution of spreads.

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Paper provided by Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department in its series Working Papers with number w201022.

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Date of creation: 2010
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Handle: RePEc:ptu:wpaper:w201022

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  1. Miguel A. Segoviano Basurto & Carlos Caceres & Vincenzo Guzzo, 2010. "Sovereign Spreads: Global Risk Aversion, Contagion or Fundamentals?," IMF Working Papers 10/120, International Monetary Fund.
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Cited by:
  1. Iuliana Matei & Angela Cheptea, 2012. "Sovereign bond spread drivers in the EU market in the aftermath of the global financial crisis," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-00845660, HAL.
  2. Agnieszka Szczypińska, 2012. "Does the halo effect still hold? Implications for the euro-candidates from the analysis of the EA bond market - the crisis perspective," Working Papers 15, Ministry of Finance in Poland.
  3. Pusch, Toralf, 2012. "The role of uncertainty in the euro crisis: A reconsideration of liquidity preference theory," Discussion Papers 31, University of Hamburg, Centre for Economic and Sociological Studies (CESS/ZÖSS).
  4. Radulescu, Andrei, 2012. "The Public Debt Of Countries From Euro Zone. The Snowball Effect," Studii Financiare (Financial Studies), Centre of Financial and Monetary Research "Victor Slavescu", vol. 16(3), pages 95-103.

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