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How Many U.S. Jobs Might Be Offshorable?

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Author Info
Alan S. Blinder (Princeton University)

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Abstract

Using detailed information on the nature of work done in over 800 BLS occupational codes, this paper ranks those occupations according to how easy/hard it is to offshore the work— either physically or electronically. Using that ranking, I estimate that somewhere between 22% and 29% of all U.S. jobs are or will be potentially offshorable within a decade or two. (I make no estimate of how many jobs will actually be offshored.) Since my rankings are subjective, two alternatives are presented—one is entirely objective, the other is an independent subjective ranking. It is found that there is little or no correlation between an occupation’s “offshorability” and the skill level of its workers (as measured either by educational attainment or wages). However, it appears that, controlling for education, the most highly offshorable occupations were already paying significantly lower wages in 2004.

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Paper provided by Princeton University, Department of Economics, Center for Economic Policy Studies. in its series Working Papers with number 60.

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Date of creation: Mar 2007
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Handle: RePEc:pri:cepsud:60

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  1. Rosario Crinò, 2009. "Service Offshoring and White-Collar Employment," UFAE and IAE Working Papers 775.09, Unitat de Fonaments de l'Anàlisi Econòmica (UAB) and Institut d'Anàlisi Econòmica (CSIC). [Downloadable!]
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  2. William Milberg and Deborah Winkler, 2009. "Economic Insecurity in the New Wave of Globalization," SCEPA Working Papers 2009-6, Schwartz Center for Economic Policy Analysis (SCEPA), The New School. [Downloadable!]
  3. Pablo , Agnese, 2009. "Employment effects of offshoring. An application to Japanese industries, 1980-2005," MPRA Paper 16506, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  4. William Milberg and Deborah Winkler, 2009. "Financialization and the Dynamics of Offshoring in the U.S," SCEPA Working Papers 2009-5, Schwartz Center for Economic Policy Analysis (SCEPA), The New School. [Downloadable!]
  5. Mark A. Wynne & Erasmus K. Kersting, 2008. "The globalization of U.S. business investment," Staff Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Feb. [Downloadable!]
  6. Todd Schoellman, 2009. "The Occupations and Human Capital of U.S. Immigrants," EERI Research Paper Series EERI_RP_2009_19, Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI). [Downloadable!]
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  7. Claudia Goldin & Lawrence F. Katz, 2007. "Long-Run Changes in the U.S. Wage Structure: Narrowing, Widening, Polarizing," NBER Working Papers 13568, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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