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Attitudes and Action: Public Opinion and the Occurrence of International Terrorism

Author

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  • Alan B. Krueger

    (Princeton University and NBER)

Abstract

The predictors of terrorism are unclear. This paper examines the effect of public opinion in one country toward another country on the number of terrorist attacks perpetrated by people or groups from the former country against targets in the latter country. Public opinion is measured by the percentage of people in Middle Eastern and North African countries who disapprove of the leadership of nine world powers. Count models for 143 pairs of countries are used to estimate the effect of public opinion on terrorist incidents, controlling for other relevant variables and origin country fixed effects. We find a greater incidence of international terrorism when people of one country disapprove of the leadership of another country.

Suggested Citation

  • Alan B. Krueger, 2009. "Attitudes and Action: Public Opinion and the Occurrence of International Terrorism," Working Papers 1100, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Center for Economic Policy Studies..
    • Handle: RePEc:pri:cepsud:179
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    File URL: https://web.archive.org/web/20190430055758/http://www.princeton.edu/ceps/workingpapers/179krueger.pdf
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Dimant, Eugen & Krieger, Tim & Meierrieks, Daniel, 2023. "Paying them to hate US: The effect of U.S. military aid on anti-American terrorism, 1968-2018," Discussion Paper Series 2023-02, University of Freiburg, Wilfried Guth Endowed Chair for Constitutional Political Economy and Competition Policy.
    2. Hodler, Roland & Raschky, Paul & Strittmatter, Anthony, 2018. "Religiosity and Terrorism: Evidence from Ramadan Fasting," CEPR Discussion Papers 13257, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    3. Martin Gassebner & Simon Luechinger, 2011. "Lock, stock, and barrel: a comprehensive assessment of the determinants of terror," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 149(3), pages 235-261, December.
    4. Marco Vinicio Méndez-Coto, 2017. "Smart power and public diplomacy: A Costa Rican approach," Place Branding and Public Diplomacy, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 13(3), pages 194-204, August.
    5. Nicola Limodio, 2022. "Terrorism Financing, Recruitment, and Attacks," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 90(4), pages 1711-1742, July.
    6. Malečková, Jitka & Stanišić, Dragana, 2011. "Public opinion and terrorist acts," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 27(S1), pages 107-121.
    7. Podobnik, Boris & Kirbis, Ivona Skreblin & Koprcina, Maja & Stanley, H.E., 2019. "Emergence of the unified right- and left-wing populism—When radical societal changes become more important than ideology," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 517(C), pages 459-474.
    8. Mario COCCIA, 2018. "The relation between terrorism and high population growth," Journal of Economics and Political Economy, KSP Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 84-104, March.
    9. Roland Hodler & Paul Raschky & Anthony Strittmatter, 2018. "Religion and Terrorism: Evidence from Ramadan Fasting," Papers 1810.09869, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2020.
    10. Malečková Jitka & Stanišić Dragana, 2013. "Does Higher Education Decrease Support for Terrorism?," Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 19(3), pages 343-358, December.
    11. Malečková Jitka & Stanišić Dragana, 2014. "Changes in Public Opinion and the Occurrence of International Terrorism," Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 20(4), pages 1-23, December.
    12. Limodio, Nicola, 2019. "Terrorism Financing, Recruitment and Attacks: Evidence from a Natural Experiment," Working Papers 287, The University of Chicago Booth School of Business, George J. Stigler Center for the Study of the Economy and the State.
    13. Jennings, Colin, 2012. "Rationalising ‘Irrational’ Support for Political Violence," SIRE Discussion Papers 2012-87, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
    14. Delavande, Adeline & Zafar, Basit, 2018. "Information and anti-American attitudes," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 1-31.
    15. Kirill Zhirkov & Maykel Verkuyten & Jeroen Weesie, 2014. "Perceptions of world politics and support for terrorism among Muslims: Evidence from Muslim countries and Western Europe," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 31(5), pages 481-501, November.
    16. Colin Jennings, 2012. "Rationalising ‘'Irrational'' Support for Political Violence," Working Papers 1212, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
    17. Jitka Maleckova, 2011. "The Role of Public Support for the Occurrence of Terrorism," EUSECON Policy Briefing 6, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    18. Milenkovic, Nemanja & Vukmirovic, Jovanka & Bulajic, Milica & Radojicic, Zoran, 2014. "A multivariate approach in measuring socio-economic development of MENA countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 604-608.
    19. Opoku-Agyemang, Kweku A., 2017. "Narcissism Over Ideology: Revealed versus Stated Terrorist Preferences," SocArXiv 5fj2x, Center for Open Science.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • H56 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - National Security and War

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