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Testing for PPP Using SADC Real Exchange Rates

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Author Info
Thabo Mokoena () (South African Reserve Bank, Pretoria)
Rangan Gupta () (Department of Economics, University of Pretoria)
Renee van Eyden () (Department of Economics, University of Pretoria)

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Abstract

This paper attempts to provide evidence indicating that the Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) puzzle is becoming less of a puzzle. It present the results of Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test, nonlinear tests of nonstationarity, and Bayesian unit root tests, applied to ten SADC countries. The Bayesian tests were found to be biased in favour of a trend stationary model in all cases. It is argued that nonlinear approaches to exchange rate adjustments are likely to provide a firmer basis for inference and stronger support for the PPP in the long-term. This is more so at 1 per cent and 5 per cent levels of significance.

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File URL: http://web.up.ac.za/UserFiles/WP_2008_22(2).pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University of Pretoria, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 200822.

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Length: 14 pages
Date of creation: Jun 2008
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:pre:wpaper:200822

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Postal: PRETORIA, 0002
Phone: (+2712) 420 2413
Fax: (+2712) 362-5207
Web page: http://web.up.ac.za/default.asp?ipkCategoryID=40
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Related research
Keywords: Purchasing Power Parity Nonlinear Nonstationarity Tests Bayesian Unit Root Test

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Bayesian Analysis
C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models
F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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This page was last updated on 2008-8-28.


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