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The transmission of foreign financial crises to South Africa: a firm-level study

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  • Boshoff, Willem H.

Abstract

The process of financial integration has increased the exposure of South African financial markets to foreign financial crises. This paper contributes to the understanding of crisis transmission by evaluating several hypotheses that claim to explain how financial crises are transmitted to South African financial markets. The study proceeds from a firm-level perspective, which it argues overcomes the potential loss of information when using aggregate economic data. Consequently, the different transmission hypotheses are evaluated for the East Asian, Russian and Argentinean crises using firm-level daily stock return data from the JSE Securities Exchange. A multivariate regression model, supplemented by sensitivity tests, forms the core of the empirical methodology.

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File URL: http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/9029/
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 9029.

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Date of creation: 2006
Date of revision:
Publication status: Published in Studies in Economics and Econometrics 2.30(2006): pp. 61-85
Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:9029

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Related research

Keywords: financial contagion; crisis; South Africa; financial linkages;

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References

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  1. Reinhart, Carmen & Kaminsky, Graciela & Vegh, Carlos, 2003. "The unholy trinity of financial contagion," MPRA Paper 13878, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  2. Glick, Reuven & Rose, Andrew K, 1998. "Contagion and Trade: Why are Currency Crises Regional," CEPR Discussion Papers 1947, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  3. William F. Sharpe, 1963. "A Simplified Model for Portfolio Analysis," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 9(2), pages 277-293, January.
  4. Graciela L. Kaminsky & Carmen Reinhart, 2003. "The Center and the Periphery: The Globalization of Financial Turmoil," NBER Working Papers 9479, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  5. D. Collins & N. Biekpe, 2003. "Contagion And Interdependence In African Stock Markets," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 71(1), pages 181-194, 03.
  6. Ratna Sahay & Deepak Mishra & Poonam Gupta, 2003. "Output Response to Currency Crises," IMF Working Papers 03/230, International Monetary Fund.
  7. Falkenstein, Eric G, 1996. " Preferences for Stock Characteristics as Revealed by Mutual Fund Portfolio Holdings," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 51(1), pages 111-35, March.
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Cited by:
  1. Tennant, David, 2011. "Factors impacting on whether and how businesses respond to early warning signs of financial and economic turmoil: Jamaican firms in the global crisis," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 63(5), pages 472-491, September.
  2. Nicolas Berman & Philippe Martin, 2012. "The Vulnerability of Sub-Saharan Africa to Financial Crises: The Case of Trade," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 60(3), pages 329-364, September.

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