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The Nexus between Industrial Exports and Economic Growth in Tunisia: Empirical Analysis

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  • elmakki, asma
  • Bakari, Sayef
  • MABROUKI, Mohamed

Abstract

This paper investigates the relationship between industrial exports and economic growth in Tunisia. In order to achieve this purpose, annual data for the periods between 1969 and 2015 were tested using the Johansen co-integration analysis of VECM and the Granger-Causality tests. According to the result of the analysis, it was determined that there is a negative relationship between industrial exports and economic growth in the long run term. Otherwise, and on the basis of the results of the Granger causality test, we noted the absence of a causal relationship between industrial exports and economic growth in the short term. These results provide evidence that industrial exports, thus, are not seen as the source of economic growth in Tunisia and suffer a lot of problems and poor economic strategy.

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  • elmakki, asma & Bakari, Sayef & MABROUKI, Mohamed, 2017. "The Nexus between Industrial Exports and Economic Growth in Tunisia: Empirical Analysis," MPRA Paper 79360, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:79360
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    3. Sayef Bakari, 2017. "The Long Run and Short Run Impacts of Exports on Economic Growth: Evidence from Gabon," Economic Research Guardian, Weissberg Publishing, vol. 7(1), pages 40-57, June.
    4. Sayef Bakari & Sofien Tiba, 2022. "Agricultural Exports, Agricultural Imports And Economic Growth In China," Journal of Smart Economic Growth, , vol. 7(3), pages 35-61, September.
    5. Akermi, Najwa & Ben Yedder, Nadia & Bakari, Sayef, 2023. "Impact of Final Consumption, Domestic Investment, Exports, and Imports on Economic Growth in Albania," MPRA Paper 118308, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Mkadmi, Jamel Eddine & Bakari, Sayef & Msai, Achwak, 2021. "Assessing the Impact of Tax Policies on Economic Growth in Tunisia: New Empirical and Policy Analysis," MPRA Paper 109023, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Sayef Bakari & Mohamed Mabrouki & Abdelhafidh Othmani, 2018. "The Six Linkages Between Foreign Direct Investment, Domestic Investment, Exports, Imports, Labor Force And Economic Growth: New Empirical And Policy Analysis From Nigeria," Journal of Smart Economic Growth, , vol. 3(1), pages 25-43, Juin.
    8. Othmani, Abdelhafidh & Ben Yedder, Nadia & Bakari, Sayef, 2023. "The Cointegration Relationship between Patent, Domestic Investment and Economic Growth in United States of America," MPRA Paper 118245, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Bakari, Sayef & El Weriemmi, Malek & Mabrouki, Mohamed, 2022. "The Impact of Digitalization and Trade Openness on Economic Growth: New Evidence from Richest Asian Countries," MPRA Paper 113816, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Dahmani, Mounir, 2021. "Impact de la diversification des exportations sur la croissance économique: Cas de la Tunisie [Impact of export diversification on economic growth: case of Tunisia]," MPRA Paper 112225, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2021.
    11. Bakari, Sayef, 2022. "The Nexus between Domestic Investment and Economic Growth in Developed Countries: Do Exports matter?," MPRA Paper 114394, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Bakari, Sayef & Mabrouki, Mohamed, 2018. "The Impact of Agricultural Trade on Economic Growth in North Africa: Econometric Analysis by Static Gravity Model," MPRA Paper 85116, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Spahiu Muhamet J. & Durguti Esat A., 2023. "Impact of Financial Liberalization on Export: Evidence from Kosovo," Studia Universitatis „Vasile Goldis” Arad – Economics Series, Sciendo, vol. 33(2), pages 95-111, June.
    14. Bakari, Sayef, 2022. "The Impact of Natural resources, CO2 Emission, Energy use, Domestic Investment, Innovation, Trade and Digitalization on Economic growth: Evidence from 52 African Countries," MPRA Paper 114323, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Ben Yedder, Nadia & El Weriemmi, Malek & Bakari, Sayef, 2023. "The Impact of Domestic Investment and Trade on Economic Growth in North Africa Countries: New Evidence from Panel CS-ARDL Model," MPRA Paper 117956, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Bakari, Sayef & El Weriemmi, Malek, 2022. "Exploring the Impact of Agricultural Investment on Economic Growth in France," MPRA Paper 113970, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Najwa AKERMI & Nadia Ben YEDDER & Sayef BAKARI, 2024. "Impact of final consumption, domestic investment, exports, and imports on economic growth in Albania," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(1(638), S), pages 231-252, Spring.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Industrial Export; Economic Growth; Tunisia; Cointegration; VECM and Causality.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F1 - International Economics - - Trade
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade

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