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Modeling with scenarios: technology in north-south development


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  • Chichilnisky, Graciela
  • Cole, Sam


This article outlines work in progress on a study of technological choice in the context of North-South development. Its main purpose is to describe the methodology being developed in the pilot phase of the study. This is of interest because it links together a number of analytic techniques--sociopolitical scenario analysis, macroeconomic modelling, and certain microstudies. The methodological problems are general to much forecasting activity.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 7847.

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Date of creation: 1978
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:7847

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Keywords: modelling; modeling; scenarios; north-south; north; south; development; developing; economics; technology; macroeconomic; macroeconomic model; socio-technical; production; consumption; basic goods; luxury goods; microeconomic; developing; technology; production systems; labour; labor; labour output; labor output; capital; growth; population; price; scenario analysis; sociopolitical; quantitative;

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  1. Hopkins, Mike & Scolnik H & Mclean M, 1975. "Basic needs, growth and redistribution; a quantitative approach," ILO Working Papers 163532, International Labour Organization.
  2. Chichilnisky, Graciela, 1981. "Terms of trade and domestic distribution : Export-led growth with abundant labour," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 8(2), pages 163-192, April.
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Cited by:
  1. Chichilnisky, Graciela & Cole, Sam, 1979. "A model of technology, domestic distribution and North-South relations," MPRA Paper 7999, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  2. Smit, H.P., 1980. "Medium- and long-term models for the escap-region : a review of existing models and a proposal for a new model system," Serie Research Memoranda 0002, VU University Amsterdam, Faculty of Economics, Business Administration and Econometrics.


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