Modeling with scenarios: technology in north-south development
AbstractThis article outlines work in progress on a study of technological choice in the context of North-South development. Its main purpose is to describe the methodology being developed in the pilot phase of the study. This is of interest because it links together a number of analytic techniques--sociopolitical scenario analysis, macroeconomic modelling, and certain microstudies. The methodological problems are general to much forecasting activity.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 7847.
Date of creation: 1978
Date of revision:
modelling; modeling; scenarios; north-south; north; south; development; developing; economics; technology; macroeconomic; macroeconomic model; socio-technical; production; consumption; basic goods; luxury goods; microeconomic; developing; technology; production systems; labour; labor; labour output; labor output; capital; growth; population; price; scenario analysis; sociopolitical; quantitative;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- O1 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development
- C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- Hopkins, Mike & Scolnik H & Mclean M, 1975. "Basic needs, growth and redistribution; a quantitative approach," ILO Working Papers 163532, International Labour Organization.
- Chichilnisky, Graciela, 1981. "Terms of trade and domestic distribution : Export-led growth with abundant labour," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 8(2), pages 163-192, April.
- Chichilnisky, Graciela & Cole, Sam, 1979. "A model of technology, domestic distribution and North-South relations," MPRA Paper 7999, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Smit, H.P., 1980. "Medium- and long-term models for the escap-region : a review of existing models and a proposal for a new model system," Serie Research Memoranda 0002, VU University Amsterdam, Faculty of Economics, Business Administration and Econometrics.
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