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Composição Das Exportações E Crescimento Econômico – O Brasil No Período 1989-2005
[Export Composition and Economic Growth: Brazil from 1989 to 2005]

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Author Info
Galimberti, Jaqueson Kingeski

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Abstract

This study verifies the existence of a long-term relationship between the composition of exports and economic growth in Brazil, for the period from 1989 to 2005. For this it uses the approach of the theory of economic growth for formulation of a theoretical and econometric model to this relationship, as well as the approach of time series analysis for econometric estimatives. The effect of the composition of exports on economic growth is analyzed in two ways: the technological differentiation and the diversification of exports. The results of the estimates are tested for stationary and cointegration of the series. The results indicate the existence of a long-term relationship of technology products exports and the diversification of exports, with economic growth. In the short term, the results indicate that only the variations of the factors capital / labour and exports of other products per employee, affect the output per worker in the economy. Moreover, it is observed that short-term imbalances in the variable product / employee are corrected almost immediately in the following period. In an international comparison, it is concluded that in countries with higher rates of economic growth, exports of high-tech products have weight in the total exports, relatively higher than presented by Brazil. Thus, it appears the need for targeting of Brazilian exports to products of higher aggregation technology, enabling the achievement of a sustainable economic growth.

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Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 7775.

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Date of creation: Jun 2007
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:7775

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Keywords: Economic growth export composition

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
O24 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Trade Policy; Factor Movement; Foreign Exchange Policy
F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
H23 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Externalities; Redistributive Effects; Environmental Taxes and Subsidies

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  1. Feder, Gershon, 1983. "On exports and economic growth," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(1-2), pages 59-73. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Solow, Robert M, 1994. "Perspectives on Growth Theory," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 8(1), pages 45-54, Winter. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Lederman, Daniel & Maloney, William F., 2003. "Trade structure and growth," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3025, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
  4. Ben-David, Dan & Papell, David H., 1997. "International trade and structural change," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(3-4), pages 513-523, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Robert E. Baldwin, 2000. "Trade and Growth: Still Disagreement about the Relationships," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 264, OECD Economics Department. [Downloadable!]
  6. Thomas Hatzichronoglou, 1997. "Revision of the High-Technology Sector and Product Classification," OECD Science, Technology and Industry Working Papers 1997/2, OECD Directorate for Science, Technology and Industry. [Downloadable!]
  7. Aghion, Philippe & Howitt, Peter, 1992. "A Model of Growth through Creative Destruction," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 60(2), pages 323-51, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. Romer, Paul M, 1994. "The Origins of Endogenous Growth," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 8(1), pages 3-22, Winter. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Izani Ibrahim & Craig MacPhee, 2003. "Export externalities and economic growth," Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 12(3), pages 257-283, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. Lucas, Robert Jr., 1988. "On the mechanics of economic development," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 3-42, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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