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Eficiencia del Mercado Accionario Chileno: Un Enfoque Dinámico usando Tests de Volatilidad
[Chilean Stock Market Efficiency: A Dynamic Approach using Volatility Tests]

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Author Info
Acuña, Andrés
Pinto, Cristián

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Abstract

In this paper we analyze the Chilean Stock Market's efficiency level. The efficiency concept, relates financial asset prices, the outcome from investment decisions, with all the information available to economic agents in their rational economic decision making process. To corroborate the stock market efficiency we used a theorical model for financial asset pricing, which consists in a partial equilibrium model with an optimal solution that determines intertemporal consumption decisions. We analyze the observed and expected Chilean shares's volatility under an efficient stock market framework, in order to determine the presence of speculative bubbles and discount rate variability. In our analysis we used monthly data for the Chilean Stock Market prices from 1987 to 2007.

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Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 7387.

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Date of creation: Nov 2007
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:7387

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Keywords: efficiency stock market asset pricing CAPM

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
D53 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Financial Markets
G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies

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  4. Shiller, Robert J, 1981. "The Use of Volatility Measures in Assessing Market Efficiency," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 36(2), pages 291-304, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Burton G. Malkiel, 2003. "The Efficient Market Hypothesis and Its Critics," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 17(1), pages 59-82, Winter. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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    Other versions:
  8. Diba, Behzad T & Grossman, Herschel I, 1988. "Explosive Rational Bubbles in Stock Prices?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 78(3), pages 520-30, June.
  9. James D. Hamilton & Gang Lin, 1996. "Stock Market Volatility and The Business Cycle," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series 96-18, Department of Economics, UC San Diego. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  10. Timmermann, Allan Gilling, 1993. " Learning, Specification Search and Market Efficiency. With an Application to the Danish Stock Market," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 95(2), pages 157-73.
  11. LeRoy, Stephen F, 1989. "Efficient Capital Markets and Martingales," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 27(4), pages 1583-1621, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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    Other versions:
  16. Campbell, John Y & Shiller, Robert J, 1987. "Cointegration and Tests of Present Value Models," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 95(5), pages 1062-88, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  17. Grossman, Sanford J & Shiller, Robert J, 1981. "The Determinants of the Variability of Stock Market Prices," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 71(2), pages 222-27, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  18. Robert J. Shiller, 1981. "The Use of Volatility Measures in Assessing Market Efficiency," NBER Working Papers 0565, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  19. Stiglitz, Joseph E, 1982. "The Inefficiency of the Stock Market Equilibrium," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(2), pages 241-61, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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