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Eficiencia del Mercado Accionario Chileno: Un Enfoque Dinámico usando Tests de Volatilidad
[Chilean Stock Market Efficiency: A Dynamic Approach using Volatility Tests]

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Author Info
Acuña, Andrés
Pinto, Cristián

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Abstract

In this paper we analyze the Chilean Stock Market's efficiency level. The efficiency concept, relates financial asset prices, the outcome from investment decisions, with all the information available to economic agents in their rational economic decision making process. To corroborate the stock market efficiency we used a theorical model for financial asset pricing, which consists in a partial equilibrium model with an optimal solution that determines intertemporal consumption decisions. We analyze the observed and expected Chilean shares's volatility under an efficient stock market framework, in order to determine the presence of speculative bubbles and discount rate variability. In our analysis we used monthly data for the Chilean Stock Market prices from 1987 to 2007.

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Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 7387.

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Date of creation: Nov 2007
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:7387

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Related research
Keywords: efficiency; stock market; asset pricing; CAPM;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
D53 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Financial Markets
G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies

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  1. Fama, Eugene F, 1970. "Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 25(2), pages 383-417, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Engle, Robert F & Granger, Clive W J, 1987. "Co-integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 55(2), pages 251-76, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Shiller, Robert J, 1981. "The Use of Volatility Measures in Assessing Market Efficiency," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 36(2), pages 291-304, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. LeRoy, Stephen F, 1984. "Efficiency and the Variability of Asset Prices," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 74(2), pages 183-87, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Campbell, John Y & Shiller, Robert J, 1988. " Stock Prices, Earnings, and Expected Dividends," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 43(3), pages 661-76, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  6. James D. Hamilton & Gang Lin, 1996. "Stock Market Volatility and The Business Cycle," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series 96-18, Department of Economics, UC San Diego. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  7. Timmermann, Allan Gilling, 1993. " Learning, Specification Search and Market Efficiency. With an Application to the Danish Stock Market," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 95(2), pages 157-73.
  8. LeRoy, Stephen F, 1989. "Efficient Capital Markets and Martingales," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 27(4), pages 1583-1621, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Leroy, S.F., 1989. "Efficient Capital Markets And Martingales," University of California at Santa Barbara, Economics Working Paper Series 13-89, Department of Economics, UC Santa Barbara.
  10. Campbell, John Y & Shiller, Robert J, 1987. "Cointegration and Tests of Present Value Models," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 95(5), pages 1062-88, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  11. Grossman, Sanford J & Shiller, Robert J, 1981. "The Determinants of the Variability of Stock Market Prices," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 71(2), pages 222-27, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  12. Robert J. Shiller, 1981. "The Use of Volatility Measures in Assessing Market Efficiency," NBER Working Papers 0565, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  13. Lucas, Robert E, Jr, 1978. "Asset Prices in an Exchange Economy," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 46(6), pages 1429-45, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  14. Burton G. Malkiel, 2003. "The Efficient Market Hypothesis and Its Critics," Working Papers 111, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Center for Economic Policy Studies.. [Downloadable!]
  15. Dickey, David A & Fuller, Wayne A, 1981. "Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 49(4), pages 1057-72, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  16. Burton G. Malkiel, 2003. "The Efficient Market Hypothesis and Its Critics," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 17(1), pages 59-82, Winter. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  17. Diba, Behzad T & Grossman, Herschel I, 1988. "Explosive Rational Bubbles in Stock Prices?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 78(3), pages 520-30, June.
  18. Gode, Dhananjay K & Sunder, Shyam, 1997. "What Makes Markets Allocationally Efficient?," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 112(2), pages 603-30, May.
  19. LeRoy, Stephen F & Porter, Richard D, 1981. "The Present-Value Relation: Tests Based on Implied Variance Bounds," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 49(3), pages 555-74, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  20. West, Kenneth D, 1988. " Bubbles, Fads and Stock Price Volatility Tests: A Partial Evaluation," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 43(3), pages 639-56, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  21. Stiglitz, Joseph E, 1982. "The Inefficiency of the Stock Market Equilibrium," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(2), pages 241-61, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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