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Hedge funds, exchange rates and causality: Evidence from Thailand and Malaysia

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Author Info
Azman-Saini, W.N.W.

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Abstract

This article contributes to the debate on hedge funds and exchange rates in Thailand and Malaysia. It examines causal relations using a new Granger non-causality procedure proposed by Toda and Yamamoto (Journal of Econometrics, 66, 225-50, 1995). Monthly observations are utilized over a sample period from January, 1994 to April, 2002. The results show that the funds lead Thai baht for the crisis period. The results also reveal that the funds lead Malaysian ringgit for the pre-crisis period.

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File URL: http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/716/
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Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 716.

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Date of creation: Oct 2006
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:716

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Keywords: Hedge Funds Exchange Rates Granger Non-Causality Thailand Malaysia

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
G2 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services
F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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  1. Toda, Hiro Y. & Yamamoto, Taku, 1995. "Statistical inference in vector autoregressions with possibly integrated processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 66(1-2), pages 225-250. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Brealey, Richard A & Kaplanis, Evi, 2001. "Hedge Funds and Financial Stability: An Analysis of Their Factor Exposures," International Finance, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 4(2), pages 161-87, Summer. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Toda, Hiro Y & Phillips, Peter C B, 1993. "Vector Autoregressions and Causality," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 61(6), pages 1367-93, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Zapata, Hector O & Rambaldi, Alicia N, 1997. "Monte Carlo Evidence on Cointegration and Causation," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 59(2), pages 285-98, May.
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  5. Anne Jansen & Bankim Chadha & Laura E. Kodres & Donald J. Mathieson & Sunil Sharma & Barry J. Eichengreen, 1998. "Hedge Funds and Financial Market Dynamics," IMF Occasional Papers 166, International Monetary Fund.
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