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A Further Inquiry into Determinants of Aggregate Income Tax Evasion

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  • Cebula, Richard
  • McGrath, Richard

Abstract

This study empirically investigates the impact of a variety of factors on income tax evasion in the United States over the period 1973 to 1997. The aggregate estimates indicate that federal income tax evasion may be an increasing function of the federal personal income tax rate and the public’s dissatisfaction with government. In addition, income tax evasion may be a decreasing function both of penalties imposed by the IRS on unpaid taxes and IRS audit rates. Moreover, a trend variable that may to some extent reflect the impact of improved IRS income-detection technologies over time exhibits a negative and significant coefficient, implying that such technologies may diminish tax evasion.

Suggested Citation

  • Cebula, Richard & McGrath, Richard, 2001. "A Further Inquiry into Determinants of Aggregate Income Tax Evasion," MPRA Paper 59489, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:59489
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Klepper, Steven & Nagin, Daniel & Spurr, Stephen, 1991. "Tax Rates, Tax Compliance, and the Reporting of Long-Term Capital Gains," Public Finance = Finances publiques, , vol. 46(2), pages 236-251.
    2. Cebula, Richard & Saltz, Ira, 2000. "An Empirical Note on Tax Auditing and the Size of the Underground Economy in the United States, 1962-1980," MPRA Paper 50559, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Falkinger, Josef, 1988. "Tax Evasion and Equity: A Theoretical Analysis," Public Finance = Finances publiques, , vol. 43(3), pages 388-395.
    4. Das-Gupta, Arindam, 1994. "A Theory of Hard-to-Tax Groups," Public Finance = Finances publiques, , vol. 49(Supplemen), pages 28-39.
    5. Pestieau, Pierre & Possen, Uri & Slutsky, Steve, 1994. "Optimal Differential Taxes and Penalties," Public Finance = Finances publiques, , vol. 49(Supplemen), pages 15-27.
    6. Brian Erard & Jonathan Feinstein, 1994. "The Role of Moral Sentiments and Audit Perceptions in Tax Compliance," Carleton Industrial Organization Research Unit (CIORU) 94-03, Carleton University, Department of Economics.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    income tax evasion; underground economy; tax rates; penalties; audit rates;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E26 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Informal Economy; Underground Economy
    • H24 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Personal Income and Other Nonbusiness Taxes and Subsidies
    • H26 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Tax Evasion and Avoidance
    • H31 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - Household

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