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Oil price volatility and real effective exchange rate: the case of Thailand

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  • Jiranyakul, Komain

Abstract

The main objective of this study is to directly examine the relation between real oil price and real effective exchange rate in Thailand during July 1997 to December 2013. Under the floating exchange rate regime, bilateral exchange rates are expected to fluctuate more than under the fixed exchange rate regime. The monthly data of real effective exchange rate index and real oil price are used. The results from this study reveal that there is no cointegration and causality in levels of the two series. However, an increase in oil price volatility causes real exchange rate volatility to increase. This main finding gives some policy implications to policy makers.

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  • Jiranyakul, Komain, 2014. "Oil price volatility and real effective exchange rate: the case of Thailand," MPRA Paper 57196, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:57196
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    Cited by:

    1. Chee-Hong Law, 2018. "The heterogeneous impact of oil price on exchange rate: Evidence from Thailand," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 38(4), pages 1748-1756.
    2. Hong Thai Le & Marta Disegna, 2018. "Responses of macroeconomy and stock markets to structural oil price shocks: New evidence from Asian oil refinery," BAFES Working Papers BAFES25, Department of Accounting, Finance & Economic, Bournemouth University.
    3. Aganin, Artem & Peresetsky, Anatoly, 2018. "Volatility of ruble exchange rate: Oil and sanctions," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 52, pages 5-21.
    4. Benjamin Ighodalo Ehikioya & Alexander Ehimare Omankhanlen & Ayopo Abiola Babajide & Godswill Osagie Osuma & Cordelia Onyinyechi Omodero, 2020. "Oil Price Fluctuations and Exchange Rate in Selected Sub-Saharan Africa countries: A Vector Error Correction Model Approach," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(6), pages 242-249.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Oil price; real exchange rate; bivariate GARCH; volatility spillover.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

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