Population with immigration: Turkey and the EU. Does a young population remedy to the aged?
AbstractAnnual population growth rate in Turkey is as high as 1.1 per cent, while many EU countries have shrinking, and hence ageing, populations. In this paper we consider an age-structured population that consists of female natives and Turkish immigrants into the EU. Immigrants’ fertility and mortality schedule may differ from that of EU natives, their children may adopt it. We apply a discrete-time Leslie-type model which allows for immigration and the study of its long-run effects. We examine the contribution of EU natives and Turkish immigrants to the EU population in terms of age-specific reproductive values which measure the value of one female of a given age as a seed for future population growth. Genealogies are derived in terms of the realisations of a corresponding Markov chain running backward in time.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 55848.
Date of creation: 09 May 2005
Date of revision: 30 May 2014
Publication status: Published in Policy Modeling International Conference, EcoMod, Istanbul, Istanbul Conference Proceedings.5(2005): pp. 1-20
Turkey and the EU; ageing populations; immigration; stochastic demography; stable populations; discrete-time Leslie-type model; age-specific reproductive values; Markov chain; genealogy;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
- J15 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Economics of Minorities, Races, Indigenous Peoples, and Immigrants; Non-labor Discrimination
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-AGE-2014-08-20 (Economics of Ageing)
- NEP-ALL-2014-08-20 (All new papers)
- NEP-ARA-2014-08-20 (MENA - Middle East & North Africa)
- NEP-DEM-2014-08-20 (Demographic Economics)
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- Lloyd Demetrius, 1979. "Relations between demographic parameters," Demography, Springer, Springer, vol. 16(2), pages 329-338, May.
- Thomas Espenshade & Leon Bouvier & W. Arthur, 1982. "Immigration and the stable population model," Demography, Springer, Springer, vol. 19(1), pages 125-133, February.
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