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Calendar anomalies in the Malaysian stock market

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Author Info
Chia, Ricky Chee-Jiun
Liew, Venus Khim-Sen
Syed Khalid Wafa, Syed Azizi Wafa

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Abstract

This study examines the calendar anomalies in the Malaysian stock market. Using various generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models; this study reveals the different anomaly patterns in this market for before, during and after the Asian financial crisis periods. Among other important findings, the evidence of negative Monday returns in post-crisis period is consistent with the related literature. However, this study finds no evidence of a January effect or any other monthly seasonality. The current empirical findings on the mean returns and their volatility in the Malaysian stock market could be useful in designing trading strategies and drawing investment decisions. For instance, as there appears to be no month-of-the-year effect, long-term investors may adopt the buy-and-hold strategy in the Malaysia stock market to obtain normal returns. In contrast, to obtain abnormal profit, investors have to deliberately looking for short-run misaligned price due to varying market volatility based on the finding of day-of-the-week effect. Besides, investors can use the day-of-the-week effect information to avoid and reduce the risk when investing in the Malaysian stock market. Further analysis using EGARCH and TGARCH models uncovered that asymmetrical market reactions on the positive and negative news, rendering doubts on the appropriateness of the previous research that employed GARCH and GARCH-M models in their analysis of calendar anomalies as the later two models assume asymmetrical market reactions.

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Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 516.

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Date of creation: 19 Sep 2006
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:516

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Related research
Keywords: calendar anomalies Malaysia stock market GARCH models day-of-the-week effect month-of-the-year effect

Find related papers by JEL classification:
G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies
C50 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - General

This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

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  1. A.D. Clare & M.S.B. Ibrahim & S.H. Thomas, 1998. "The Impact of Settlement Procedures on Day-of-the-week Effects: Evidence from the Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 25(3&4), pages 401-418. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. French, Kenneth R., 1980. "Stock returns and the weekend effect," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 8(1), pages 55-69, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Engle, Robert F & Ng, Victor K, 1993. " Measuring and Testing the Impact of News on Volatility," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 48(5), pages 1749-78, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Rogalski, Richard J, 1984. " New Findings Regarding Day-of-the-Week Returns over Trading and Non-trading Periods: A Note," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 39(5), pages 1603-14, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Hentschel, Ludger, 1995. "All in the family Nesting symmetric and asymmetric GARCH models," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 71-104, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Brooks, Chris & Persand, Gita, 2001. "Seasonality in Southeast Asian Stock Markets: Some New Evidence on Day-of-the-Week Effects," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 8(3), pages 155-58, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Zakoian, Jean-Michel, 1994. "Threshold heteroskedastic models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 18(5), pages 931-955, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Nelson, Daniel B, 1991. "Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(2), pages 347-70, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Fawson, Chris, et al, 1996. "The Weak-Form Efficiency of the Taiwan Share Market," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 3(10), pages 663-67, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. Lucey, Brian M, 2000. "Anomalous Daily Seasonality in Ireland?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 7(10), pages 637-40, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  11. Jang, Hoyoon & Sul, Wonsik, 2002. "The Asian financial crisis and the co-movement of Asian stock markets," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 13(1), pages 94-104. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  12. Mishkin, Frederic S., 1999. "Lessons from the Asian crisis," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 709-723, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  13. Johnson, Simon & Boone, Peter & Breach, Alasdair & Friedman, Eric, 2000. "Corporate governance in the Asian financial crisis," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(1-2), pages 141-186. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  14. N. A. Niarchos & C. A Alexakis, 2003. "Intraday stock price patterns in the Greek stock exchange," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 13(1), pages 13-22, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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