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Simulation of Aggregate Demand Impacts on the Sectoral Value Added in the Iranian Economy

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  • Valadkhani, Abbas

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to measure the impact of final demand aggregates on the sectoral value added in the Iranian economy by employing input-output analysis and econometric modelling. This paper presents a model in which the sectoral value added for major aggregate sectors is linked with final demand deliveries. The policy implications of this study highlight the outcome of a sustained percentage shock in each component of aggregate demand, other components remaining unchanged, on the growth of the sectoral value added in four counterfactual simulation experiments. These policy implications can provide insights for decision makers and planners in Iran.

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File URL: http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/50385/
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 50385.

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Date of creation: 1997
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Publication status: Published in Australasian Journal of Regional Studies 3.2(1997): pp. 177-200
Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:50385

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Keywords: Iran; Input-output; Asia;

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  1. Dickey, David A & Fuller, Wayne A, 1981. "Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, Econometric Society, vol. 49(4), pages 1057-72, June.
  2. Preston, Ross S, 1975. "The Wharton Long Term Model: Input-Output within the Context of a Macro Forecasting Model," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 16(1), pages 3-19, February.
  3. Rogelio Montemayor Seguy & Ramirez, 1975. "The Use of Input-Output Analysis in an Econometric Model of the Mexican Economy," NBER Chapters, in: Annals of Economic and Social Measurement, Volume 4, number 4, pages 531-552 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  4. André Sapir, 1976. "A note on input-output analysis and macro-econometric models," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/8298, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
  5. Pesaran, H., 1995. "Planning and Macroeconomic Stabilization in Iran," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge 9508, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
  6. Jere R. Behrman & James Hanson, 1979. "Short-Term Macroeconomic Policy in Latin America," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number behr79-1.
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