Do College Entrance Examination Scores Predict Undergraduate GPAs? A Tale of Two Universities
AbstractEach year, millions of Chinese high school students sit the National College Entrance Examination (CEE). For the majority of students, the CEE score is the single determinant in whether they gain admission into a college and to what college they enter. The purpose of this paper is to determine whether and how well the CEE score predicts college academic success. We also consider high school achievement and admission route in predicting college grades. We obtain administrative data on CEE and undergraduate GPAs from two Chinese universities with very different rankings. We find that, for both universities the CEE total score predicts undergraduate GPAs for all four years in college. Even the size of the estimates for CEE is similar for the two universities. High school achievement and admission routes are also significant predictors of college grades. However, we do not find consistent results as to which CEE subject test scores predict students’ academic performance in college.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 48731.
Date of creation: 30 Jul 2013
Date of revision:
Undergraduate GPA; Student Attributes; Admission Route;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- I2 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education
- I21 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Analysis of Education
- I23 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Higher Education and Research Institutions
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2013-08-05 (All new papers)
- NEP-EDU-2013-08-05 (Education)
- NEP-NPS-2013-08-05 (Nonprofit & Public Sector)
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