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Оценка Производственной Функции В Условиях Неопределённости Динамики Физического Капитала
[Assessing the production function under the uncertainty of dynamics of the fixed capital]

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Author Info

  • Краснопёров, Олег

Abstract

Основной проблемой при оценке производственной функции развивающихся стран является отсутствие надёжных статистических данных по физическому капиталу. Разные исследователи используют разные допущения по объёму физического капитала в базовый период и норме амортизации. При этом зачастую остаётся неясным, почему выбраны именно такие значения переменных и как использование альтернативных допущений повлияло бы на результаты оценки производственной функции. Данная работа на примере Латвии показывет, что допущения по динамике физического капитала могут иметь решающее значение для результатов оценки производственной функции. Например, меняя допущения в рамках допустимых значений, эластичность ВВП к капиталу может менятся от 0.13 до 0.43, что охватывает весь спектр значений, полученных в научной литературе. При наличии детерминистического технического прогресса, автор предлагает использовать такие допущения о динамике физического капитала, которые минимизируют ошибку производственной функции.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 47555.

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Date of creation: 26 May 2012
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:47555

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Keywords: производственная функция; физический капитал; инвестиции; информационный критерий Акаика;

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  1. Natan P. Epstein & Corrado Macchiarelli, 2010. "Estimating Poland's Potential Output," IMF Working Papers 10/15, International Monetary Fund.
  2. Emmanuel Brou Aka & Bernardin Akitoby & Amor Tahari & Dhaneshwar Ghura, 2004. "Sources of Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa," IMF Working Papers 04/176, International Monetary Fund.
  3. Bems, Rudolfs & Jönsson, Kristian, 2005. "Trade Deficits in the Baltic States: How Long Will the Party Last?," Working Paper Series 186, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
  4. Aleksejs Melihovs & Gundars Davidsons, 2006. "The Role of Production Progress and Human Capital in the Economic Growth of Latvia," Working Papers 2006/03, Latvijas Banka.
  5. Konstantins Benkovskis & Dainis Stikuts, 2006. "Latvia's Macroeconomic Model," Working Papers 2006/02, Latvijas Banka.
  6. Viktors Ajevskis & Kristine Vitola, 2011. "Housing and Banking in a Small Open Economy DSGE Model," Working Papers 2011/03, Latvijas Banka.
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Cited by:
  1. Krasnopjorovs, Olegs, 2013. "Latvijas ekonomikas izaugsmi noteicošie faktori
    [Factors of Economic Growth in Latvia]
    ," MPRA Paper 47550, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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