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The influence of variable selection methods on the accuracy of bankruptcy prediction models

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  • du Jardin, Philippe

Abstract

Over the last four decades, bankruptcy prediction has given rise to an extensive body of literature, the aim of which was to assess the conditions under which forecasting models perform effectively. Of all the parameters that may influence model accuracy, one has rarely been discussed: the influence of the variable selection method. The aim of our research is to evaluate the prediction accuracy of models designed with various classification techniques and variables selection methods. As a result, we demonstrate that a search strategy cannot be designed without considering the characteristics of the modeling technique and that the fit between the variable selection method and the technique used to design models is a key factor in performance.

Suggested Citation

  • du Jardin, Philippe, 2012. "The influence of variable selection methods on the accuracy of bankruptcy prediction models," MPRA Paper 44383, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:44383
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Xavier Brédart & Eric Séverin & David Veganzones, 2021. "Human resources and corporate failure prediction modeling: Evidence from Belgium," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(7), pages 1325-1341, November.
    2. Ilyes Abid & Rim Ayadi & Khaled Guesmi & Farid Mkaouar, 2022. "A new approach to deal with variable selection in neural networks: an application to bankruptcy prediction," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(2), pages 605-623, June.
    3. Yusuf Ali Al-Hroot, 2015. "The Influence Of Sample Size And Selection Of Financial Ratios In Bankruptcy Model Accuracy," Economic Review: Journal of Economics and Business, University of Tuzla, Faculty of Economics, vol. 13(1), pages 7-19, May.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bankruptcy prediction; Forecasting model; Variable selection;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C45 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Neural Networks and Related Topics
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • G33 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Bankruptcy; Liquidation

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