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The link between government budget and current account in the Baltic countries

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  • Misztal, Piotr

Abstract

The main aim of the article is theoretical and empirical analysis of the causal relationship between the budget balance and the current account balance in the Baltic countries (Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia) in the period 1999-2010. In the paper are used methods based on the literature study of international economics and international finance as well as econometric methods (Vector Autoregressive Model - VAR). The results of investigation clearly point at the existence of negative relationship between fiscal and current account balances in the analyzed countries. At the same time it was revealed stronger impact of the current account balance on the government balance than the impact of the government balance on the current account balance in Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 40784.

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Date of creation: 03 Jan 2012
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:40784

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Keywords: government balance; current account; VAR model;

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  1. Kenneth Kasa, 1994. "Finite horizons and the twin deficits," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, pages 19-28.
  2. Sylvia KAUFMANN & Johann SCHARLER & Georg WINCKLER, 1999. "The Austrian current account deficit: Driven by twin deficits or by intertemporal expenditure allocation?," Vienna Economics Papers vie9903, University of Vienna, Department of Economics.
  3. Anoruo, Emmanuel & Ramchander, Sanjay, 1998. "Current account and fiscal deficits: Evidence from five developing economies of Asia," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 9(3), pages 487-501.
  4. Nickel, Christiane & Vansteenkiste, Isabel, 2008. "Fiscal policies, the current account and Ricardian equivalence," Working Paper Series 0935, European Central Bank.
  5. Enders, Walter & Lee, Bong-Soo, 1990. "Current Account and Budget Deficits: Twins or Distant Cousins?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 72(3), pages 373-81, August.
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  7. Marinheiro, Carlos Fonseca, 2008. "Ricardian equivalence, twin deficits, and the Feldstein-Horioka puzzle in Egypt," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 30(6), pages 1041-1056.
  8. Lau, E. & Baharumshah, A. Z., 2006. "Twin Deficits Hypothesis in SEACEN Countries: A Panel Data Analysis of Relationships between Public Budget and Current Account Deficits," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 6(2).
  9. Chul-Hwan Kim & Donggeun Kim, 2006. "Does Korea have twin deficits?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(10), pages 675-680.
  10. Piersanti, Giovanni, 2000. "Current account dynamics and expected future budget deficits: some international evidence," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 255-271, April.
  11. Abell, John D., 1990. "Twin deficits during the 1980s: An empirical investigation," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 81-96.
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