Economic Growth and Electricity Consumption in Africa and Asia: MS-VAR and MS-GRANGER Causality Analysis
AbstractKnowledge of the direction of the causality between electricity consumption and economic growth is of primary importance if appropriate energy policies and energy conservation measures are to be devised.This study estimates the causality relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth by Markov Switching Vector Auto Regression (VAR) and Markov Switching Granger Causality methods for some emerging countries; Brunei, Cameron, Côte d'Ivoire, Nigeria, South Africa, Togo and Zimbabwe. The results from MS-VAR models show that in regime one, two and three, Electricity Consumption (EC) is the Granger cause of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and GDP is the Granger cause of the EC. In sum, we find some evidence of bidirectional GC between the EC and the GDP.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 40515.
Date of creation: 29 Jan 2012
Date of revision:
Economic Growth; Electricity Consumption; MS-VAR; MS-Granger Causality;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- C0 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General
- N7 - Economic History - - Economic History: Transport, International and Domestic Trade, Energy, and Other Services
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-AFR-2012-08-23 (Africa)
- NEP-ALL-2012-08-23 (All new papers)
- NEP-ENE-2012-08-23 (Energy Economics)
- NEP-FDG-2012-08-23 (Financial Development & Growth)
- NEP-SEA-2012-08-23 (South East Asia)
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Blog mentionsAs found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
- Which comes first: electricity or economic growth?
by Economic Logician in Economic Logic on 2012-09-04 15:24:00
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